F1 · resolved market
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88192465408e2e3041eb8f2ca18a078ce94fa24d0d146cd1064b921e7655b247
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 54c | 3,531$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.51 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.99 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 47c | 1,244$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.76 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 41c | 944.25$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.04 | 112 | 66.1%74 W · 38 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9372…3b1abacked No | 49c | 699.99$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.99 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa569…08dfbacked Yes | 54c | 546.63$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…5e20backed Yes | 25c | 399.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5de…cabebacked Yes | 55c | 366.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 48c | 349.97$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.55 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed No | 55c | 346.35$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.93 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa492…adbebacked Yes | 59c | 337.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 35c | 296.42$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.18 | 91 | 65.9%60 W · 31 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 75c | 202.28$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.73 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 51c | 171.75$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.07 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 53c | 167.05$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.02 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…54e8backed Yes | 61c | 164.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 54cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb817…bdc7backed Yes | 64c | 157.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked No | 45c | 134.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.24 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x626e…fa46backed Yes | 57c | 127.02$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.35 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Yes | 46c | 126.44$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Yes | 56c | 120$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 47c | 109.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 44c | 105.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…b9ffbacked No | 56c | 102.74$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb975…258dbacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3823backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 60c | 68.17$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Yes | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 48c | 59.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x286f…82a5backed No | 75c | 58.09$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 71cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6a…b380backed Yes | 25c | 53.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 144 | 29.9%43 W · 101 L | +14.2wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed No | 74c | 41.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 44c | 40.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d2…7ad6backed No | 49c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 100 | 65%65 W · 35 L | +20.3wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…0cf5backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8edb…0e21backed Yes | 38c | 39.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +121%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 54c | 34.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffc5…67a5backed No | 54c | 33.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1faa…ac41backed Yes | 45c | 31.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf791…ae5bbacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747e…d81ebacked Yes | 60c | 26.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 56c | 25.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -8.9wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x746d…81dbbacked Yes | 54c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac3a…6835backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Pierre Gasly finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.