TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Xinyu Gao vs Harmony Tan

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Harmony Tanof Xinyu Gao, Harmony Tan
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,186
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,430

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,186 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Xinyu Gao23c4,425$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.734,25345%1,912 W · 2,341 L+20.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Harmony Tan35c2,937$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,910.4611,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb369…0c39backed Xinyu Gao23c2,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.99560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Xinyu Gao56c1,975$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111.64,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfac7…78ebbacked Xinyu Gao57c1,755$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008554.1%46 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked Harmony Tan44c1,626$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.511552.2%60 W · 55 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Xinyu Gao28c1,253$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.119,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Harmony Tan38c1,201$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.838,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Xinyu Gao14c1,087$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.3139238.8%152 W · 240 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Harmony Tan43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57085634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Harmony Tan59c888.11$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.935,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Xinyu Gao38c850.82$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.0211746.2%54 W · 63 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Harmony Tan71c811.88$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.8843950.8%223 W · 216 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Harmony Tan68c578.6$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.594,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc260…fcf0backed Xinyu Gao3c561.38$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.081346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2409…215ebacked Xinyu Gao34c478.79$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.8624450.8%124 W · 120 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Xinyu Gao22c461.05$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1735132.2%113 W · 238 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d0d…7435backed Harmony Tan40c434.6$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.923943.6%17 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fe4…d0f1backed Harmony Tan48c430.74$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.627157.7%41 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Xinyu Gao51c430$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.29,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Harmony Tan71c420.23$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.231,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Harmony Tan60c367.92$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.9255243.3%239 W · 313 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86b3…7650backed Xinyu Gao60c317.2$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9421560.5%130 W · 85 L+15.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a5c…f951backed Harmony Tan46c317.03$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.286058.3%35 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Harmony Tan43c313.66$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.792,15054.1%1,164 W · 986 L-1.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Harmony Tan38c265.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.732240.7%131 W · 191 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Xinyu Gao11c245.26$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8937741.4%156 W · 221 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb01…5715backed Harmony Tan41c243$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14310234.3%35 W · 67 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Harmony Tan53c234.51$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.896,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Harmony Tan76c230.83$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7793048.8%454 W · 476 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x332e…df71backed Xinyu Gao58c206.9$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12042934.7%149 W · 280 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Harmony Tan59c177.51$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.962,06946.7%966 W · 1,103 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe741…a9d1backed Xinyu Gao48c163.56$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5125948.6%126 W · 133 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0574…3ee0backed Harmony Tan43c153.49$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.497121.1%15 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76d4…c512backed Harmony Tan53c147.47$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.736732.8%22 W · 45 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-44.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Harmony Tan34c147.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0681933.1%271 W · 548 L-30.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1861…408dbacked Harmony Tan42c141$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2945251.8%234 W · 218 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1369…d4b7backed Xinyu Gao56c133$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.48520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-75%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Xinyu Gao33c131.47$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.382,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Harmony Tan28c125$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904,97538.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L-19.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Harmony Tan42c124.9$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.447,10739.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L-17.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x361f…5edabacked Harmony Tan60c116.95$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.117856.4%44 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Harmony Tan43c111.69$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.695,32528.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L-21.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Xinyu Gao54c108.7$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.77,75347.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L+39.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc314…6a46backed Xinyu Gao19c104.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7618410.9%20 W · 164 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Xinyu Gao55c104.31$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.371,06857.4%613 W · 455 L+21.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Xinyu Gao58c101.65$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9656757.1%324 W · 243 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d18…6f62backed Xinyu Gao55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5556062.5%350 W · 210 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Xinyu Gao78c100$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-58.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Harmony Tan59c94.66$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4983047%390 W · 440 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Xinyu Gao41c93$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1384640%338 W · 508 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Harmony Tan66c91.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.211,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20bf…2be9backed Harmony Tan55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9114942.3%63 W · 86 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Xinyu Gao37c75$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.752,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Harmony Tan43c70.09$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0959050.5%298 W · 292 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked Harmony Tan60c68.03$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4259954.9%329 W · 270 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Harmony Tan43c66.91$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.153,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb437…c9c8backed Harmony Tan62c66.14$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.941145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f57…c3acbacked Xinyu Gao62c64.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Xinyu Gao58c60.34$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Harmony Tan48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.446,57446.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L-45.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc1…b855backed Harmony Tan31c59.54$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.293336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Xinyu Gao26c55.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.183,79854.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L+111.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x071f…92bdbacked Harmony Tan61c54.74$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.351,08573.7%800 W · 285 L+40.8wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Xinyu Gao50c54.11$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0425245.2%114 W · 138 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Harmony Tan28c52$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.444,65048.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Xinyu Gao55c51.82$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.534549.9%172 W · 173 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Xinyu Gao53c50.03$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5218551.9%96 W · 89 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Xinyu Gao50c48.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.392,77653.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L+69.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2901…f4d6backed Xinyu Gao47c47.57$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.366535.4%23 W · 42 L-6.5wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-25.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Xinyu Gao41c47.27$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.367,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9132…6607backed Harmony Tan43c46.72$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7216242%68 W · 94 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9360…67f0backed Xinyu Gao24c45.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1111249.1%55 W · 57 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9ef…eb67backed Harmony Tan46c43.59$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.593951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d0a…ea32backed Xinyu Gao51c39.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2043618.3%80 W · 356 L-21.4wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Xinyu Gao32c35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0430746.3%142 W · 165 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c8…9487backed Harmony Tan50c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.384868.8%33 W · 15 L+6.2wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+16.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Xinyu Gao39c32.34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5674646.1%344 W · 402 L-30.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89d6…c3c5backed Harmony Tan77c31.71$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.292080%16 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick75cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Xinyu Gao53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.91,12551.1%575 W · 550 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d2…380bbacked Xinyu Gao53c28.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.859647.9%46 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Harmony Tan43c26.63$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.181,02257.8%591 W · 431 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Harmony Tan78c26.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.712,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Harmony Tan40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5151…fba8backed Harmony Tan77c23.6$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4338074.5%283 W · 97 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x787d…aecdbacked Harmony Tan61c17.19$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7238860.6%235 W · 153 L-11.9wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Xinyu Gao61c17$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.371,42555.1%785 W · 640 L+23.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe510…3535backed Harmony Tan77c13.34$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.0711473.7%84 W · 30 L-0.5wins0.00per pick74cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.