Tennis · resolved market
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Matteo Arnaldi vs Toby Samuel
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3afcf7db6af0b38fb50946db1a3c016731d351c992db378953d9e84bd81c3d2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matteo Arnaldiof Matteo Arnaldi, Toby Samuel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $169,773
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $190,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,773 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 254 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5d3…e1dfbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 38c | 9,651$3,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,992.23 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toby Samuel | 54c | 8,684$4,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,711.22 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Matteo Arnaldi | 52c | 7,326$3,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,502.32 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Toby Samuel | 48c | 6,981$3,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,364.6 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toby Samuel | 46c | 6,436$2,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,963.57 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Toby Samuel | 69c | 6,183$4,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,247.48 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Toby Samuel | 56c | 5,134$2,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,881.66 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6261…2e11backed Matteo Arnaldi | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -46%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Matteo Arnaldi | 53c | 4,730$2,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220.03 | 359 | 38.2%137 W · 222 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Matteo Arnaldi | 40c | 4,502$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,692.28 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Matteo Arnaldi | 78c | 4,314$3,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.99 | 629 | 56.9%358 W · 271 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Toby Samuel | 55c | 4,004$2,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184.72 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…037ebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 48c | 3,506$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,834.88 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Matteo Arnaldi | 45c | 2,683$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.31 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3705…9677backed Matteo Arnaldi | 42c | 2,664$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.86 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 21c | 2,474$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.9 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Toby Samuel | 74c | 2,101$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.74 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Toby Samuel | 37c | 2,000$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.91 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeab…d961backed Matteo Arnaldi | 74c | 2,000$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.49 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Toby Samuel | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.98 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Matteo Arnaldi | 73c | 1,926$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.05 | 189 | 47.6%90 W · 99 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ff…79dcbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 46c | 1,911$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.87 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdf…ec9ebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 52c | 1,700$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.61 | 175 | 56.6%99 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Matteo Arnaldi | 36c | 1,696$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.33 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Toby Samuel | 55c | 1,673$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.75 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18ba…f577backed Matteo Arnaldi | 19c | 1,534$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.54 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Toby Samuel | 33c | 1,513$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.77 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Matteo Arnaldi | 43c | 1,507$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.24 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Toby Samuel | 56c | 1,430$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5a97backed Matteo Arnaldi | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Matteo Arnaldi | 41c | 1,338$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.87 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Matteo Arnaldi | 43c | 1,130$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.2 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 41c | 1,030$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.71 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7932…5b38backed Matteo Arnaldi | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.61 | 361 | 57.1%206 W · 155 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x468a…c764backed Matteo Arnaldi | 38c | 936$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.32 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Toby Samuel | 52c | 872.41$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.75 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Toby Samuel | 19c | 809$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.07 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Matteo Arnaldi | 49c | 797.96$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.96 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…70b1backed Toby Samuel | 52c | 735.27$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.3 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Toby Samuel | 19c | 623.18$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.2 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Matteo Arnaldi | 43c | 593.63$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.67 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b61…599cbacked Toby Samuel | 51c | 583.51$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcd…0320backed Matteo Arnaldi | 46c | 575.8$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.93 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toby Samuel | 54c | 559$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.86 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda2b…85febacked Matteo Arnaldi | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.56 | 104 | 23.1%24 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Toby Samuel | 2c | 554$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd74…00a1backed Matteo Arnaldi | 79c | 512.66$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.66 | 496 | 58.1%288 W · 208 L | +32.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Matteo Arnaldi | 49c | 511.94$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.09 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Toby Samuel | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Toby Samuel | 49c | 495.46$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.78 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a83…195bbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 79c | 481.96$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.96 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Toby Samuel | 53c | 459.12$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.42 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Toby Samuel | 38c | 455.11$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.39 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa13d…f67abacked Matteo Arnaldi | 76c | 429.06$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.34 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed70…fbb9backed Toby Samuel | 14c | 424.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Toby Samuel | 42c | 424.94$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.92 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…fb10backed Toby Samuel | 55c | 421.82$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 452 | 56.2%254 W · 198 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…1b41backed Toby Samuel | 20c | 420$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.2 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Toby Samuel | 47c | 392.52$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.34 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Matteo Arnaldi | 49c | 390.52$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.17 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 52c | 360.52$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.57 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Toby Samuel | 59c | 358.45$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.78 | 530 | 43%228 W · 302 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Matteo Arnaldi | 71c | 358.23$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.98 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Toby Samuel | 47c | 347.74$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.96 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Toby Samuel | 71c | 341.3$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.32 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb91…dd87backed Matteo Arnaldi | 18c | 327.78$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.78 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -52%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Toby Samuel | 31c | 327.38$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.24 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b8…8712backed Matteo Arnaldi | 47c | 326.74$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.17 | 172 | 57%98 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 54c | 322.18$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.51 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Toby Samuel | 54c | 312.66$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.89 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 47c | 306.84$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.51 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…2909backed Toby Samuel | 52c | 304$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.08 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -8.6wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Matteo Arnaldi | 43c | 302.33$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.33 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Matteo Arnaldi | 49c | 287.26$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.78 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Matteo Arnaldi | 78c | 273.14$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.39 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Toby Samuel | 20c | 269.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | +17.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Matteo Arnaldi | 59c | 262.71$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.71 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9266…8f3cbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 37c | 261.66$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.66 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 48c | 260.4$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.2 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc41…3c0dbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 46c | 257.52$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Toby Samuel | 68c | 257.35$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Toby Samuel | 48c | 254.16$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.23 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Toby Samuel | 47c | 252.83$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.63 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x885a…8bfdbacked Toby Samuel | 28c | 252.64$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.74 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Matteo Arnaldi | 53c | 249.39$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.09 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Matteo Arnaldi | 43c | 243$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.56 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Matteo Arnaldi | 43c | 241.76$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.03 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Toby Samuel | 55c | 240$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.9 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Matteo Arnaldi | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Toby Samuel | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 457 | 51%233 W · 224 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e66…bbd2backed Toby Samuel | 52c | 231.06$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.15 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…0cd4backed Toby Samuel | 38c | 227.61$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.45 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Matteo Arnaldi | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 656 | 52.1%342 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 50c | 217$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.84 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Toby Samuel | 54c | 212.81$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.92 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…abe1backed Matteo Arnaldi | 35c | 209.09$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.07 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8583…3f3cbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Matteo Arnaldi | 77c | 206.51$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 523 | 55.6%291 W · 232 L | +26.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 25c | 200.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.8 | 275 | 28.4%78 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd241…6c35backed Matteo Arnaldi | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Matteo Arnaldi vs Toby Samuelthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Arnaldi vs SamuelSamuel won
- Set 2 Winner: Arnaldi vs SamuelArnaldi won
- Set Handicap: Arnaldi (-1.5) vs Samuel (+1.5)Samuel won
- Set Handicap: Samuel (-1.5) vs Arnaldi (+1.5)Arnaldi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.