TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,685
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,562

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,685 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5452…d448backed No78c20,000$15,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,399.9246464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf438…9559backed No77c9,000$6,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,070.0714449.3%71 W · 73 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb83…306fbacked Yes22c6,554$1,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460.87156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick13cpaid-84.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No76c6,000$4,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.9719252.1%100 W · 92 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes23c5,717$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,337.898,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked No77c4,415$3,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.1533555.5%186 W · 149 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked No77c4,415$3,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.2634249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4362…9e47backed Yes24c4,257$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0417431.1%23 W · 51 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd73…97cdbacked Yes23c4,181$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.7560%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3705…9677backed Yes22c2,727$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005223.1%12 W · 40 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fab…9195backed Yes22c2,660$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.2830%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb933…ab68backed Yes22c2,500$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5504727.7%13 W · 34 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked No77c2,438$1,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.7315950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No79c2,200$1,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.9270750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No77c2,152$1,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.362,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No78c2,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.9914860.1%89 W · 59 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f4f…075fbacked Yes24c1,972$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.240%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No77c1,959$1,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.9732765.7%215 W · 112 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Yes21c1,906$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.268047.5%38 W · 42 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc021…1fa8backed No78c1,540$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.597941.8%33 W · 46 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked No75c1,500$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37516564.2%106 W · 59 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed No78c1,179$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.175446.3%25 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x530c…89f1backed Yes23c1,093$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506538.5%25 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22045421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22041429%120 W · 294 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No79c999.98$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.9925038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed No75c980.16$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.1616633.7%56 W · 110 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce00…7d1dbacked Yes24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022643.4%98 W · 128 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes24c777.16$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.312,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x886f…5e20backed Yes23c700$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1616033.3%20 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes4c672.12$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.762,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ff8…8a76backed No74c664.69$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.824141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf72…f7cebacked Yes23c652.17$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506036.7%22 W · 38 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e74…ec81backed Yes23c521.74$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12028626.9%77 W · 209 L-1.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f9c…cec3backed Yes24c518.13$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.35955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f70…123dbacked Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005133.3%17 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdac1…baddbacked No78c499.92$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.9831171.4%222 W · 89 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdef2…c543backed Yes23c495.65$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1142910.3%3 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick16cpaid+101.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x45dd…7181backed Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004040%16 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b3e…383abacked Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+90.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012332.5%40 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5b7…1454backed Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc31a…bfb2backed Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008320.5%17 W · 66 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2666…ade6backed Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006346%29 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bff…5ab4backed Yes21c441$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.61450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+49.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Yes22c440.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9712848.4%62 W · 66 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe660…f522backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007626.3%20 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc82…5af0backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030928.8%89 W · 220 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x006e…7c46backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006429.7%19 W · 45 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2190…bee9backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004613%6 W · 40 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0627…f26dbacked Yes23c432.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007532%24 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc790…cbd2backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003839.5%15 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a68…ad4cbacked Yes17c399.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.54119.5%8 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-32.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fa7…2723backed Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506227.4%17 W · 45 L+0.2wins0.00per pick27cpaid-25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac82…04c1backed Yes23c337.9$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.943935.9%14 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…2af9backed Yes18c310$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.87955.7%44 W · 35 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd69a…d57fbacked Yes25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754231%13 W · 29 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes21c282.94$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3942336.9%156 W · 267 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No79c278.16$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.462,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60d0…e866backed Yes23c274.96$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.141040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-35.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d20…d646backed Yes25c240.4$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6015936.5%58 W · 101 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa43…70abbacked Yes25c225.72$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.43425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+127.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No75c224$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.251,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b0b…612abacked Yes22c223.55$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.187219.4%14 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-3.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013159.5%78 W · 53 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb843…eac8backed Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505630.4%17 W · 39 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-35.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3ba3…c844backed Yes15c212.5$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.51526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-47.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc350…ceb0backed Yes23c204.53$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-37%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes17c200.13$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.342,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba3…8cb2backed Yes22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed Yes9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1824533.9%83 W · 162 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Yes22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4424247.1%114 W · 128 L-1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked Yes21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4215225.7%39 W · 113 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23e6…7bbfbacked Yes22c199.98$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4417727.1%48 W · 129 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5e7…501bbacked Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503737.8%14 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-24.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc8ad…666bbacked Yes22c181.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x750c…4b64backed Yes23c172.16$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac1…620cbacked Yes21c159.44$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0b1…f219backed Yes24c152.14$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.459445.7%43 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes20c146$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.996227.4%17 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98c1…3d1ebacked No80c140.34$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.348457.1%48 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb4b…c81ebacked Yes22c136.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307731.2%24 W · 53 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed No78c130.05$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6114325.2%36 W · 107 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9041…ddbabacked Yes22c127.82$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1211338.9%44 W · 69 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccdf…946bbacked Yes24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30825%2 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c73…e2ebbacked Yes24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303026.7%8 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba34…32b8backed Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3026151.7%135 W · 126 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5cf…7972backed Yes22c113.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258735.6%31 W · 56 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b7e…7181backed Yes22c113.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e6f…cb64backed Yes22c112.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252524%6 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3bf…99d3backed Yes23c108.75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254332.6%14 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0684…87a3backed Yes23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517231.4%54 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick31cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ac6…3684backed Yes23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b14…13dcbacked Yes23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256952.2%36 W · 33 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdaa3…c811backed Yes23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258137%30 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dbb…f8f0backed Yes12c106.11$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3578…160ebacked Yes19c105.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Yes22c104.55$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2349426.7%132 W · 362 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4059…8763backed Yes22c104.41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.976360.3%38 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe903…8f92backed Yes22c104.36$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.961952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.