Fifa International · resolved market
Pedro Neto: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa6e0b7f26c17b50b09c02ae450284f6af6c56fc923d4b6491099570444c74de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 80c | 562.3$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.74 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2db…a60dbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 74c | 407.21$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.88 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6be3…6566backed Yes | 26c | 288.46$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1695…324cbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d54…6022backed No | 73c | 249.99$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 128 | 71.9%92 W · 36 L | +14.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 27c | 239.48$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8798…76cebacked Yes | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 80 | 13.8%11 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbf…8d1ebacked Yes | 26c | 91.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked No | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x530d…dcaebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf014…df6fbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e2…4d1bbacked Yes | 27c | 41.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 73c | 25.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 381 | 55.4%211 W · 170 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 73c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pedro Neto: 1+ goalsthis page
- Bernardo Silva: 1+ assistsNo won
- Bernardo Silva: 1+ goalsNo won
- Bernardo Silva: 2+ goalsNo won
- Bernardo Silva: 3+ goalsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 1+ assistsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 1+ goalsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 1+ shotsYes won
- Bruno Fernandes: 2+ assistsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 2+ goalsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 3+ shotsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ assistsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ assistsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Cédric Bakambu: 1+ goalsNo won
- Cédric Bakambu: 3+ goalsNo won
- Fiston Mayele: 3+ goalsNo won
- Francisco Conceição: 1+ goalsNo won
- Francisco Conceição: 1+ shotsYes won
- Francisco Conceição: 3+ goalsNo won
- Gonçalo Guedes: 3+ goalsNo won
- Gonçalo Ramos: 1+ goalsNo won
- Gonçalo Ramos: 3+ goalsNo won
- João Cancelo: 1+ goalsNo won
- João Félix: 1+ goalsNo won
- João Félix: 3+ goalsNo won
- João Neves: 1+ goalsYes won
- João Neves: 2+ goalsNo won
- Nuno Mendes: 1+ goalsNo won
- Pedro Neto: 1+ assistsYes won
- Pedro Neto: 2+ shotsNo won
- Pedro Neto: 3+ goalsNo won
- Pedro Neto: 3+ shotsNo won
- Pedro Neto: 4+ shotsNo won
- Rafael Leão: 1+ goalsNo won
- Rafael Leão: 3+ goalsNo won
- Rúben Neves: 1+ goalsNo won
- Samu Costa: 1+ goalsNo won
- Samu Costa: 3+ goalsNo won
- Trincão: 3+ goalsNo won
- Vitinha: 1+ goalsNo won
- Yoane Wissa: 1+ goalsYes won
- Yoane Wissa: 2+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.