Fifa International · resolved market
Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x987103f5118ad18895178f78299d6c1f9f4ee1a7c0239d430cc23640b35e703a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x336b…1233backed Yes | 5c | 7,792$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.58 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 5c | 6,491$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.99 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes | 8c | 6,139$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 98 | 23.5%23 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 9c | 4,309$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.69 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc087…dbbabacked Yes | 7c | 3,731$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb933…ab68backed Yes | 7c | 3,100$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.6 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ae…1002backed Yes | 8c | 2,800$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.2 | 249 | 17.7%44 W · 205 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b75…6bb0backed Yes | 6c | 1,538$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 32.5%40 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a4…28bbbacked Yes | 7c | 1,493$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb77…023ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,080$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 4cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Yes | 6c | 1,007$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.43 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd35b…4a53backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 79 | 15.2%12 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…2479backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0627…f26dbacked Yes | 10c | 900.4$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.04 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 12c | 824.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.58 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…5e20backed Yes | 8c | 778.49$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa3…39b2backed Yes | 7c | 763.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 168 | 31.5%53 W · 115 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac82…04c1backed Yes | 6c | 748.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 5c | 736.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…9fa5backed Yes | 7c | 675.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 318 | 9.4%30 W · 288 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…875abacked Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 7c | 500$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd2…e6d0backed Yes | 7c | 447.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa47…93e3backed Yes | 7c | 419.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…b978backed Yes | 10c | 390$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 48 | 8.3%4 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…0f47backed Yes | 6c | 386.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2511…4d2bbacked Yes | 7c | 377.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd9…55c1backed Yes | 7c | 367.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b96…6562backed Yes | 10c | 357.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +206%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b5…cf60backed Yes | 10c | 353.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa7…2723backed Yes | 5c | 329.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…5b7ebacked Yes | 6c | 317.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…4a74backed Yes | 6c | 312.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 173 | 22.5%39 W · 134 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4719…eab1backed Yes | 10c | 311.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f56…b2c2backed Yes | 7c | 303.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 10c | 301.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…e0e9backed Yes | 7c | 298.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -27%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4b…c81ebacked Yes | 7c | 293.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 6c | 282.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8024…5de2backed Yes | 6c | 256.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2423…79e3backed Yes | 9c | 240.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…f219backed Yes | 9c | 227.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…3034backed Yes | 6c | 224.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbf…3eeabacked Yes | 8c | 215.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd787…e5e4backed Yes | 10c | 201.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1c…9b07backed Yes | 10c | 200.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…8ccebacked Yes | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ae…1399backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfe…068fbacked Yes | 7c | 183.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x124b…bd60backed No | 76c | 174.4$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.12 | 90 | 78.9%71 W · 19 L | +18.9wins | +0.21per pick | 58cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2206…49d6backed Yes | 12c | 167.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Yes | 10c | 153.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 291 | 38.8%113 W · 178 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…fa86backed Yes | 8c | 145.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292a…e42fbacked Yes | 20c | 127.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fd…b710backed Yes | 8c | 120.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 330 | 40%132 W · 198 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x294a…bbbabacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goalsthis page
- Bernardo Silva: 1+ assistsNo won
- Bernardo Silva: 1+ goalsNo won
- Bernardo Silva: 2+ goalsNo won
- Bernardo Silva: 3+ goalsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 1+ assistsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 1+ goalsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 1+ shotsYes won
- Bruno Fernandes: 2+ assistsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 2+ goalsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 3+ shotsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ assistsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ assistsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Cédric Bakambu: 1+ goalsNo won
- Cédric Bakambu: 3+ goalsNo won
- Fiston Mayele: 3+ goalsNo won
- Francisco Conceição: 1+ goalsNo won
- Francisco Conceição: 1+ shotsYes won
- Francisco Conceição: 3+ goalsNo won
- Gonçalo Guedes: 3+ goalsNo won
- Gonçalo Ramos: 1+ goalsNo won
- Gonçalo Ramos: 3+ goalsNo won
- João Cancelo: 1+ goalsNo won
- João Félix: 1+ goalsNo won
- João Félix: 3+ goalsNo won
- João Neves: 1+ goalsYes won
- João Neves: 2+ goalsNo won
- Nuno Mendes: 1+ goalsNo won
- Pedro Neto: 1+ assistsYes won
- Pedro Neto: 1+ goalsNo won
- Pedro Neto: 2+ shotsNo won
- Pedro Neto: 3+ goalsNo won
- Pedro Neto: 3+ shotsNo won
- Pedro Neto: 4+ shotsNo won
- Rafael Leão: 1+ goalsNo won
- Rafael Leão: 3+ goalsNo won
- Rúben Neves: 1+ goalsNo won
- Samu Costa: 1+ goalsNo won
- Samu Costa: 3+ goalsNo won
- Trincão: 3+ goalsNo won
- Vitinha: 1+ goalsNo won
- Yoane Wissa: 1+ goalsYes won
- Yoane Wissa: 2+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.