Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24486d82cd778a2d14464e9b37ac6a47e085082ea381a7594211cba41d43b8c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof ex-HEROIC, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked ex-HEROIC | 31c | 14,524$4,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,491.07 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed ex-HEROIC | 28c | 4,417$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.48 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 69c | 3,572$2,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.24 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed ex-HEROIC | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Falcons | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Team Falcons | 77c | 2,831$2,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.68 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed ex-HEROIC | 21c | 2,628$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.84 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Team Falcons | 78c | 2,617$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.02 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons | 71c | 2,566$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.74 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Team Falcons | 80c | 2,526$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.7 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked ex-HEROIC | 28c | 2,489$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.56 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Falcons | 77c | 2,215$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.45 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Falcons | 79c | 2,191$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.37 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Team Falcons | 62c | 1,700$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed ex-HEROIC | 24c | 1,612$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.69 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-HEROIC | 20c | 1,518$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…cc95backed ex-HEROIC | 23c | 1,256$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.72 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Falcons | 76c | 1,200$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.76 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f2…cce4backed ex-HEROIC | 2c | 1,200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked ex-HEROIC | 21c | 1,178$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.34 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked ex-HEROIC | 21c | 1,143$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…8060backed ex-HEROIC | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Falcons | 76c | 971.25$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.57 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons | 71c | 912.44$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.21 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked ex-HEROIC | 29c | 902.25$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.8 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Falcons | 72c | 884.47$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.73 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ex-HEROIC | 20c | 819.76$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.4 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed ex-HEROIC | 20c | 749$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.82 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…750abacked ex-HEROIC | 21c | 720.83$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 163 | 28.8%47 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Falcons | 68c | 700$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons | 75c | 638.46$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.61 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Team Falcons | 76c | 519.75$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.78 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Team Falcons | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Team Falcons | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Team Falcons | 67c | 499.98$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.99 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed ex-HEROIC | 29c | 490$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.39 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Team Falcons | 78c | 473.08$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed ex-HEROIC | 8c | 434.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef70…eb8dbacked ex-HEROIC | 23c | 433.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Falcons | 76c | 419.19$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.29 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked ex-HEROIC | 12c | 418.75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.82 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 407.34$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.81 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45a7…bc63backed ex-HEROIC | 2c | 402.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Team Falcons | 67c | 396.11$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.72 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Team Falcons | 69c | 344.44$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.22 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Team Falcons | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 268 | 46.6%125 W · 143 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed ex-HEROIC | 23c | 298.79$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.26 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…7f5bbacked Team Falcons | 69c | 289.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.06 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…ab6abacked ex-HEROIC | 31c | 280$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed ex-HEROIC | 26c | 269.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-HEROIC | 23c | 253.37$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.68 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Team Falcons | 69c | 249.99$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Team Falcons | 79c | 249.99$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 222.12$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Team Falcons | 73c | 205.58$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.62 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Team Falcons | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked ex-HEROIC | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Team Falcons | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed ex-HEROIC | 27c | 179.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-HEROIC | 26c | 172.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked ex-HEROIC | 23c | 172$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2c03backed ex-HEROIC | 37c | 155.89$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.74 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Falcons | 80c | 155.78$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Team Falcons | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Team Falcons | 71c | 140.04$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 508 | 55.5%282 W · 226 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Team Falcons | 73c | 134.12$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked ex-HEROIC | 23c | 133.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x810b…0848backed ex-HEROIC | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed ex-HEROIC | 23c | 126.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Falcons | 75c | 125.9$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed ex-HEROIC | 10c | 114.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Falcons | 69c | 101$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f1…8391backed ex-HEROIC | 15c | 100.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked ex-HEROIC | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Team Falcons | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked ex-HEROIC | 26c | 89.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-HEROIC | 23c | 88.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…7fb5backed Team Falcons | 78c | 79.49$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed ex-HEROIC | 23c | 76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…cb5bbacked Team Falcons | 77c | 76$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked ex-HEROIC | 22c | 73.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked ex-HEROIC | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked ex-HEROIC | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed ex-HEROIC | 24c | 63.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 207 | 38.6%80 W · 127 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 59.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c0e6backed Team Falcons | 79c | 50.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 222 | 59%131 W · 91 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Falcons | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Team Falcons | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6365…df4ebacked ex-HEROIC | 30c | 43.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 225 | 38.7%87 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Team Falcons | 79c | 39.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 279 | 52.3%146 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed ex-HEROIC | 31c | 35.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed Team Falcons | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Falcons | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7173…7a4cbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 27.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ba…fc0ebacked Team Falcons | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Team Falcons | 68c | 24.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 378 | 51.1%193 W · 185 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Team Falcons | 70c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Team Falcons | 74c | 19.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…37b0backed Team Falcons | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group ATeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs ex-HEROIC (+1.5)Team Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.