CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NRG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88c9c70a626d7337b146dd6328ebc5935dca83ecaf921ccc1aa001fffe5a14a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRGof NRG, B8
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef26…05babacked NRG | 41c | 5,000$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked NRG | 43c | 4,999$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,847.29 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed B8 | 51c | 4,392$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,229.9 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked B8 | 68c | 2,925$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked B8 | 59c | 2,265$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.21 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb55f…5705backed B8 | 1c | 1,861$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 60 | 5%3 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked NRG | 45c | 1,479$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.73 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed NRG | 33c | 624.56$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.68 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed NRG | 55c | 592.33$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.72 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed B8 | 69c | 580.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed NRG | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d84fbacked B8 | 58c | 440.93$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.56 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8e…c29ebacked B8 | 68c | 357.91$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.63 | 281 | 43.8%123 W · 158 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked B8 | 58c | 324.89$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.39 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked NRG | 33c | 304.2$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.96 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed NRG | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NRG | 70c | 287.2$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.91 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked B8 | 24c | 261$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.3 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0b…af12backed B8 | 36c | 254.76$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed NRG | 33c | 233.04$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.14 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed NRG | 46c | 227.9$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.66 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed B8 | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed B8 | 67c | 191.04$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 152 | 49.3%75 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed B8 | 60c | 176.52$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.62 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed B8 | 7c | 171.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4425…12efbacked NRG | 32c | 157$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.76 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked B8 | 46c | 153.64$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked B8 | 66c | 151.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.12 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed NRG | 34c | 143.41$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.11 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed NRG | 46c | 105.4$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.76 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d9…6e70backed B8 | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed NRG | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x687c…8c91backed B8 | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe410…6d65backed B8 | 66c | 96.2$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.49 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed B8 | 67c | 91.86$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.67 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | -27.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed B8 | 55c | 90.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked NRG | 45c | 90$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.76 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed B8 | 53c | 90$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfced…6116backed B8 | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed NRG | 46c | 81.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd72e…3627backed B8 | 69c | 75.85$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…ae72backed B8 | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5d…99ebbacked B8 | 62c | 48.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked B8 | 61c | 44.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed B8 | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…d66fbacked NRG | 54c | 36.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…0f6cbacked B8 | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a44…5ddbbacked B8 | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked B8 | 52c | 28.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed B8 | 45c | 26.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7730…df57backed B8 | 58c | 23.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed B8 | 60c | 19.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-InNRG won
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs B8 - Map 1 WinnerB8 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.