CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NRG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9d2a2676c7b8f94531b819e71e733865aa23c62aa1f345c594bca8acfe92203
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- B8of NRG, B8
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,685
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,685 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3ea2…12d9backed NRG | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed NRG | 20c | 2,692$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.39 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked NRG | 13c | 1,829$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.33 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d84fbacked NRG | 34c | 1,275$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.9 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked B8 | 63c | 1,253$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.03 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked NRG | 42c | 1,244$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.66 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked B8 | 63c | 992$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.64 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NRG | 45c | 816.15$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.08 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked NRG | 54c | 804.68$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.53 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed NRG | 48c | 452.17$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.64 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked NRG | 42c | 420.61$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.56 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1be…a7f6backed NRG | 9c | 342.86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 20cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed NRG | 22c | 279.87$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked NRG | 20c | 260.72$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.54 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…d1ffbacked NRG | 9c | 217.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed NRG | 37c | 200$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.33 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked NRG | 54c | 185.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 538 | 59.3%319 W · 219 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked NRG | 17c | 161$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked NRG | 10c | 151.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed B8 | 55c | 125$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8e…c29ebacked NRG | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 281 | 43.8%123 W · 158 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked NRG | 42c | 73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed B8 | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed NRG | 55c | 39.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a44…5ddbbacked B8 | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed NRG | 50c | 28.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf50…aca0backed B8 | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x38a3…b461backed NRG | 37c | 27.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed B8 | 54c | 26.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-InNRG won
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs B8 - Map 2 WinnerNRG won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.