South American Leagues · resolved market
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2025-11-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2ed04420f8dea58cb2f062b11040659f52021ad31f9e3f3b8fb007b7d3548c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,071
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,071 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 24c | 60,000$14,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,550 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 62c | 30,247$18,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,449.2 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 73c | 9,447$6,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,596.59 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 43c | 4,014$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.11 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 59c | 2,995$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.95 | 75 | 72%54 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 59c | 864.88$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.6 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 58c | 642$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.22 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Yes | 55c | 445.45$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 58c | 330.33$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.74 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 23c | 322.05$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.27 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Yes | 60c | 250.51$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.51 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked No | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0114…22a6backed No | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d9…6e70backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes | 59c | 176$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 12c | 142.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24c…eaf0backed No | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2599…61cdbacked Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Yes | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 16c | 92.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes | 56c | 89.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce29…b71bbacked Yes | 61c | 88.94$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 56c | 85.7$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb23a…a1a1backed No | 36c | 85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 70c | 80.69$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 67c | 74.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…aec2backed Yes | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8d…ed86backed Yes | 72c | 55.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 54c | 54.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe172…274ebacked No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcac2…8384backed No | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3407…897ebacked Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x737d…1f6bbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…c7b4backed No | 43c | 48.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 56c | 45.89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Yes | 58c | 42.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 63c | 37.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48fd…9450backed Yes | 58c | 36.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 57c | 34.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf3…94f5backed Yes | 60c | 33.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11de…8985backed Yes | 56c | 31.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dae…f2f4backed Yes | 61c | 30.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Yes | 66c | 24.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd72f…e009backed Yes | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6219…bb53backed Yes | 59c | 18.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fb…04d1backed Yes | 59c | 18.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 63c | 17.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2025-11-10?this page
- Will AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Belgrano end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Belgrano win on 2025-11-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.