TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof MOUZ, Team Falcons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$176,386
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$196,684

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,386 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8056…b64dbacked MOUZ33c11,881$3,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9681,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed MOUZ43c10,853$4,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,688.1423852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked MOUZ30c10,300$3,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,073.318051.1%92 W · 88 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Team Falcons56c10,000$5,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,42567041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cdb…4d30backed MOUZ45c8,248$3,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,711.574862.5%30 W · 18 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+35.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb7e2…826cbacked MOUZ26c6,824$1,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,763.038342.2%35 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Team Falcons79c6,720$5,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,427.923,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8156…27c2backed Team Falcons56c6,390$3,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,783.493548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Team Falcons75c6,358$4,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,594.839861.2%60 W · 38 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed MOUZ44c6,000$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6407146.5%33 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Team Falcons58c5,501$3,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,310.9512648.4%61 W · 65 L-10.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Team Falcons59c5,028$2,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,061.6132548.3%157 W · 168 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9823…02dbbacked Team Falcons64c4,847$3,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,723.2347055.7%262 W · 208 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed MOUZ8c4,269$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.0942057.6%242 W · 178 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Team Falcons54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,839.991,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc550…353fbacked Team Falcons55c4,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.972729.6%8 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0bd…efddbacked MOUZ40c3,660$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460.481533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked MOUZ44c3,636$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60081751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1034…b26dbacked MOUZ46c3,286$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1939…22e8backed MOUZ43c3,161$1,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.2311840.7%48 W · 70 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Team Falcons54c3,157$1,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,450.888042.5%34 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed MOUZ45c3,000$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,340.0875450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed MOUZ46c2,641$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,21528453.5%152 W · 132 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed MOUZ34c2,209$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.9827345.8%125 W · 148 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28a5…7073backed MOUZ45c2,193$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.9920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Falcons55c2,161$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.457152.1%37 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed MOUZ44c2,134$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.0322849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdec6…1d8ebacked Team Falcons56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8808052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa6…9d71backed Team Falcons56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8804856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Team Falcons56c1,857$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.2314934.9%52 W · 97 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0b3f…4b41backed Team Falcons55c1,819$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.542748.1%13 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed MOUZ28c1,800$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50721846.8%102 W · 116 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa71a…e4e2backed Team Falcons57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.391758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4403…4252backed Team Falcons55c1,526$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.884850%24 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Team Falcons55c1,455$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.5521251.4%109 W · 103 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed MOUZ35c1,335$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.15,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Team Falcons56c1,241$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.676748%368 W · 399 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked MOUZ42c1,221$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.8298052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Team Falcons54c1,200$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55224139%94 W · 147 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf95e…53ffbacked Team Falcons55c1,200$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54019849.5%98 W · 100 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Team Falcons55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45025941.3%107 W · 152 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked MOUZ44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44011631.9%37 W · 79 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked Team Falcons55c976.64$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.4935550.1%178 W · 177 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x563b…774bbacked MOUZ45c887.38$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.324959.2%29 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5fa…2afebacked Team Falcons58c830.52$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.825060%30 W · 20 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Team Falcons69c770$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.74,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8541…a367backed Team Falcons54c750$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34528344.2%125 W · 158 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed MOUZ5c695.11$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7658651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked MOUZ43c682.53$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.5622056.4%124 W · 96 L+19.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x614b…7361backed MOUZ46c649.57$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x953e…79ffbacked Team Falcons64c582.35$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.1830348.5%147 W · 156 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Team Falcons73c569$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.6358961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc9f…45debacked Team Falcons56c565.34$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.349341.9%39 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb4b…ab60backed MOUZ45c557$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.653357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+35.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0fd…a346backed Team Falcons55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.454942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e92…cd3dbacked Team Falcons59c540$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.82231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x677f…1228backed MOUZ44c538.1$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23513740.9%56 W · 81 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed MOUZ44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22046340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed Team Falcons59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20511852.5%62 W · 56 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8465…6bbdbacked MOUZ45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2259541.1%39 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48a5…a903backed MOUZ46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23011440.4%46 W · 68 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a68…6525backed MOUZ33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1659215.2%14 W · 78 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-54.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Team Falcons55c499.98$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.9928351.9%147 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d13…a252backed Team Falcons55c485.76$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.591921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-49.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbdd1…ae72backed Team Falcons57c439.25$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.9528852.1%150 W · 138 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d8e…b1c7backed Team Falcons57c434.96$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.964551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0b1…94efbacked MOUZ46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a37…869bbacked MOUZ46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007552%39 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xabd9…203ebacked MOUZ45c395.56$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-37.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0fd…5b3cbacked MOUZ45c395.07$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.7311644%51 W · 65 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Team Falcons56c386.84$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.9121645.4%98 W · 118 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked Team Falcons74c364$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.8812153.7%65 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbb…53a7backed MOUZ37c306.08$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick38cpaid+92.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked MOUZ44c300$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.511150.5%56 W · 55 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Falcons56c300$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.51,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9975…e7e6backed Team Falcons67c297.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.672360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7d80…07d4backed Team Falcons56c270.25$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.915352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed MOUZ30c261.45$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0721139.3%83 W · 128 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked MOUZ45c260$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1171,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb99…5d0fbacked Team Falcons59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.245750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5f5…a33fbacked MOUZ6c250$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.092133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51e6…80d2backed MOUZ41c250$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.515642.3%66 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked MOUZ22c240.2$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e64…7308backed MOUZ45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009251.1%47 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Team Falcons54c217.27$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.7717148%82 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed MOUZ24c216.97$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.257455.4%41 W · 33 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40d5…bfe9backed Team Falcons56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8863345.2%286 W · 347 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x154c…658ebacked Team Falcons77c178.35$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.73333.3%11 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-47.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d87…db7abacked Team Falcons58c173.79$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.992646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87ed…0055backed Team Falcons55c165$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2517847.8%85 W · 93 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xefee…d2b3backed Team Falcons75c153.29$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.322347.8%11 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc330…9794backed MOUZ32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.56229%18 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…1b46backed MOUZ34c147.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509759.8%58 W · 39 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb819…cc67backed MOUZ28c144.35$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4024155.6%134 W · 107 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb83f…b17ebacked MOUZ39c142.46$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5524249.2%119 W · 123 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x644f…c5e9backed MOUZ36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503073.3%22 W · 8 L+5.2wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+35.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xf58d…914abacked Team Falcons73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.999252.2%48 W · 44 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4731…cba8backed MOUZ43c133.98$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2710055%55 W · 45 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc9b0…4f5cbacked MOUZ45c133.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608736.8%32 W · 55 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x511a…68bebacked MOUZ45c132$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.41070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+67.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.