CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1db2bef61d2dc517df058e3b087a3a06a50d5182659fa8ffa0d099fcbc21aa2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof MOUZ, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked MOUZ | 2c | 18,468$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1,629 | 44.8%730 W · 899 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bd…efddbacked MOUZ | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9975…e7e6backed Team Falcons | 72c | 1,640$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.62 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed MOUZ | 34c | 663.8$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.39 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 632.24$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.8 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MOUZ | 35c | 524.99$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.75 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed MOUZ | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Team Falcons | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 772 | 47.8%369 W · 403 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fa…2afebacked Team Falcons | 61c | 412.29$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.29 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MOUZ | 27c | 352.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.87 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked MOUZ | 9c | 240$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Team Falcons | 65c | 220.28$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked MOUZ | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb819…cc67backed MOUZ | 11c | 187.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…04dabacked MOUZ | 14c | 185.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4121…0d76backed MOUZ | 10c | 180$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed MOUZ | 27c | 165.03$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed MOUZ | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked MOUZ | 14c | 117.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked MOUZ | 22c | 49.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a2…c111backed Team Falcons | 68c | 25.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Team Falcons | 79c | 24.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5f…e7f9backed MOUZ | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbad…ba98backed Team Falcons | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)Team Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.