CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe757c8f40ee316d3c1fd310892d6b748d8643ab646049d0680222ae43e0ed0b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2307…3934backed MOUZ | 56c | 6,554$3,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,902.45 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Team Falcons | 47c | 5,462$2,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,542.96 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Team Falcons | 44c | 4,914$2,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176.46 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e2…826cbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 4,811$2,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,553.57 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Team Falcons | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked MOUZ | 55c | 3,608$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.99 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked MOUZ | 59c | 3,493$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.53 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked MOUZ | 55c | 2,997$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.5 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 51c | 2,246$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.04 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb506…e6b3backed Team Falcons | 61c | 2,206$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed MOUZ | 57c | 2,180$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.73 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Team Falcons | 41c | 2,081$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.86 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked MOUZ | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec6…1d8ebacked Team Falcons | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Team Falcons | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…914abacked MOUZ | 55c | 1,827$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.27 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked MOUZ | 57c | 1,763$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.13 | 252 | 61.5%155 W · 97 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked MOUZ | 37c | 1,461$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.31 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Team Falcons | 33c | 1,410$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.56 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Falcons | 46c | 1,376$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.77 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed MOUZ | 48c | 1,232$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.46 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…342dbacked MOUZ | 54c | 1,032$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.71 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -12.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03ea…6254backed Team Falcons | 50c | 1,000$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Team Falcons | 54c | 935.12$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.54 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed MOUZ | 53c | 666$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.02 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Team Falcons | 42c | 658.28$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.61 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed MOUZ | 54c | 655.56$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.56 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb819…cc67backed MOUZ | 52c | 612.18$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.18 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed MOUZ | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9975…e7e6backed MOUZ | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…bbdbbacked Team Falcons | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c8…a8a3backed Team Falcons | 46c | 489.99$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Team Falcons | 38c | 401$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.38 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed MOUZ | 46c | 393.89$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.46 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed MOUZ | 53c | 369.99$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.9 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…53a7backed MOUZ | 47c | 315.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.22 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 38cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Falcons | 43c | 300$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…45debacked MOUZ | 56c | 275$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fa…2afebacked Team Falcons | 49c | 246.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed MOUZ | 74c | 208.57$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed MOUZ | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…a33fbacked MOUZ | 43c | 204.11$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.11 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked MOUZ | 55c | 200.44$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.44 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed MOUZ | 66c | 196.65$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.48 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…51edbacked MOUZ | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked Team Falcons | 48c | 157.74$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.64 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xced3…ce6bbacked MOUZ | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9f…578abacked MOUZ | 50c | 102.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed MOUZ | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd0…0e01backed MOUZ | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98b7…4947backed Team Falcons | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed MOUZ | 55c | 91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 192 | 47.9%92 W · 100 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Team Falcons | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked MOUZ | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 250 | 70.8%177 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…1b46backed MOUZ | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733e…859dbacked MOUZ | 59c | 73.73$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f78…b642backed Team Falcons | 38c | 68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef8a…4df2backed MOUZ | 31c | 60.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ba…3d9cbacked Team Falcons | 37c | 58.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed MOUZ | 53c | 57.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Team Falcons | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a2…c111backed Team Falcons | 30c | 43.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Team Falcons | 33c | 42.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…d0e3backed MOUZ | 54c | 41.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Team Falcons | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed MOUZ | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…9c2abacked MOUZ | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 289 | 64%185 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)Team Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.