NFL · resolved market

Spread: Packers (-6.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bc7d7921397cbf6b98ad63b4729f19c502eb05a879df20498a866cb1cf55864

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Cowboysof Packers, Cowboys
Resolved: Sep 29, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $607,805
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $719,971

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $607,805 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cowboys	50c	217,442$109,071 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108,371.03	418	51.9%217 W · 201 L	+13.1wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Cowboys	50c	100,000$50,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50,000	37	67.6%25 W · 12 L	+5.7wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Packers	50c	89,370$44,685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44,685.18	176	47.7%84 W · 92 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Packers	50c	61,515$30,755 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,754.89	274	54.7%150 W · 124 L	+13.3wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Packers	50c	44,223$22,069 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,069.27	114	45.6%52 W · 62 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Cowboys	53c	43,131$22,702 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,429.38	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	-4.4wins	-0.13per pick	45cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc9af…6371backed Packers	51c	41,649$21,241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,241	29	20.7%6 W · 23 L	-8.5wins	-0.29per pick	50cpaid	-57.6%equal weight	33-0.16 edge/pick
0xdfcc…441bbacked Packers	50c	39,608$20,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,000	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-3.9wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Packers	49c	37,000$18,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,250	206	34.5%71 W · 135 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Packers	50c	24,412$12,206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,205.77	30	40%12 W · 18 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e98…1f51backed Cowboys	50c	17,640$8,820 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,820.18	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Packers	50c	16,000$8,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,000	116	49.1%57 W · 59 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec5a…995fbacked Packers	50c	14,000$7,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,000	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-3.3wins	-0.41per pick	53cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Packers	50c	13,804$6,902 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,902.09	293	56%164 W · 129 L	+14.0wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f89…0d03backed Cowboys	51c	10,961$5,590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,370.85	53	30.2%16 W · 37 L	-8.5wins	-0.16per pick	46cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Packers	44c	10,483$4,612 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,612.14	419	47.3%198 W · 221 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0549…c052backed Cowboys	50c	10,016$5,008 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,008.1	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	+3.7wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Packers	50c	10,000$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	138	43.5%60 W · 78 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed Cowboys	51c	7,699$3,927 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,772.7	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cowboys	49c	7,617$3,733 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,884.92	831	47.8%397 W · 434 L	+13.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Cowboys	50c	6,000$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,000	257	44.4%114 W · 143 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Cowboys	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,500	184	35.9%66 W · 118 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Packers	36c	4,463$1,613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,612.55	684	46.1%315 W · 369 L	+16.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed Packers	50c	4,279$2,139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,139.31	88	56.8%50 W · 38 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ac1…45dbbacked Packers	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	77	54.5%42 W · 35 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Packers	34c	3,663$1,263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,262.91	647	47.3%306 W · 341 L	+42.5wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+56.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Cowboys	50c	3,288$1,644 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,643.95	611	48.6%297 W · 314 L	+10.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1699…7644backed Packers	51c	3,105$1,584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,583.79	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3134…1b18backed Packers	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	91	52.7%48 W · 43 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Cowboys	49c	2,764$1,354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,409.48	105	52.4%55 W · 50 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Packers	50c	2,500$1,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,240	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd7d…4d56backed Packers	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac33…eb4fbacked Packers	50c	1,997$999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$998.57	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Cowboys	49c	1,950$965 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$985.19	373	50.9%190 W · 183 L	+12.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Packers	50c	1,862$931 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$931	56	50%28 W · 28 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Cowboys	50c	1,500$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$750	236	47%111 W · 125 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Cowboys	50c	1,500$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$750	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd637…be9abacked Packers	33c	1,440$471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$471.4	92	53.3%49 W · 43 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2359…f72bbacked Packers	50c	1,400$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	87	50.6%44 W · 43 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Cowboys	51c	1,384$706 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$678.11	544	51.7%281 W · 263 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Cowboys	51c	1,200$612 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$588	266	48.9%130 W · 136 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa097…fba7backed Packers	50c	1,020$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	-2.4wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbde…a050backed Packers	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	99	40.4%40 W · 59 L	-8.4wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Packers	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	142	48.6%69 W · 73 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x752f…9332backed Packers	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2626…93abbacked Cowboys	50c	999.92$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$499.92	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1bc…9dc9backed Cowboys	51c	980.39$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480.39	51	39.2%20 W · 31 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76fc…e0bdbacked Cowboys	77c	900$691 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209	50	50%25 W · 25 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44a0…c3b9backed Cowboys	51c	800$410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$390	75	44%33 W · 42 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe544…3cfcbacked Packers	50c	800$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	55	50.9%28 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39ae…0268backed Packers	51c	784.31$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Packers	50c	650$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325	158	51.9%82 W · 76 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0b8…9272backed Packers	50c	640$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	32	50%16 W · 16 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x831b…eed5backed Packers	50c	600$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	45	46.7%21 W · 24 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89cd…f03bbacked Cowboys	50c	600$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	74	56.8%42 W · 32 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Cowboys	50c	600$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	+2.4wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc417…3ca6backed Packers	51c	588.24$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	60	50%30 W · 30 L	-6.6wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Packers	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	143	44.1%63 W · 80 L	-8.1wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Packers	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	167	37.7%63 W · 104 L	-6.8wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf351…5364backed Packers	51c	490.2$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-4.1wins	-0.37per pick	65cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x59e7…c669backed Packers	50c	457.04$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.09	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.22per pick	44cpaid	+69.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Cowboys	49c	456.86$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233	114	46.5%53 W · 61 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Cowboys	49c	445.74$218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.33	266	50.8%135 W · 131 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Packers	50c	407.98$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.99	77	51.9%40 W · 37 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Packers	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	109	40.4%44 W · 65 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf339…e010backed Cowboys	51c	400$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196	196	54.1%106 W · 90 L	+15.6wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbf8e…0f12backed Packers	50c	350$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-2.6wins	-0.12per pick	60cpaid	-18%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Packers	50c	344$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172	245	51%125 W · 120 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Packers	49c	302.8$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.37	1,065	51.3%546 W · 519 L	+25.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8d7…c17bbacked Cowboys	50c	300$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	117	59.8%70 W · 47 L	+8.0wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x285f…2c03backed Cowboys	50c	300$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Packers	51c	300$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153	194	36.6%71 W · 123 L	-14.8wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x161a…6a50backed Packers	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Packers	50c	288$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	446	52.9%236 W · 210 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Packers	51c	275$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.93	276	44.2%122 W · 154 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81b6…9c1fbacked Packers	50c	247.08$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.54	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8f…a3dcbacked Cowboys	52c	243.15$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.22	77	41.6%32 W · 45 L	-7.2wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b9e…94cfbacked Packers	50c	217.8$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.9	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.22per pick	50cpaid	-43%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Cowboys	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	553	45%249 W · 304 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Packers	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	159	44%70 W · 89 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-17%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c7d…423fbacked Packers	47c	200$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93	143	37.8%54 W · 89 L	-5.0wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6692…1125backed Packers	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e3…68b9backed Packers	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	68	39.7%27 W · 41 L	-6.7wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Packers	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	175	47.4%83 W · 92 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d6…d648backed Cowboys	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	85	36.5%31 W · 54 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x350e…6539backed Packers	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	90	52.2%47 W · 43 L	+4.4wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Packers	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	133	47.4%63 W · 70 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Packers	49c	200$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	242	43.4%105 W · 137 L	-7.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781e…2484backed Packers	51c	200$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	+1.9wins	+0.09per pick	29cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a25…c24dbacked Packers	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	81	43.2%35 W · 46 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e46…7ae5backed Packers	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x48d6…a32fbacked Packers	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-2.6wins	-0.22per pick	55cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb590…15d3backed Packers	51c	196.86$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	42	50%21 W · 21 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e14…fb6bbacked Packers	51c	193.24$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.55	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b0b…f9d6backed Packers	51c	175$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89	82	34.1%28 W · 54 L	-10.3wins	-0.13per pick	47cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Cowboys	50c	163.63$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.81	107	52.3%56 W · 51 L	+7.8wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x25ad…46fcbacked Cowboys	51c	150$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.5	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-2.4wins	-0.17per pick	46cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfab8…e432backed Packers	50c	142$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd18…a458backed Packers	51c	117.65$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	41	56.1%23 W · 18 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Packers	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	117	40.2%47 W · 70 L	-10.0wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Packers (-6.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event