TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Packers vs. Cowboys: O/U 47.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,879
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,121

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,879 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd38b…5029backed Over47c24,634$11,578 inWon+$13,056.2219553.8%105 W · 90 L+16.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+23.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Under51c19,978$10,231 inLost-$10,231.4941851.9%217 W · 201 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Under53c10,109$5,358 inLost-$5,357.5124551%125 W · 120 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Over47c10,000$4,700 inWon+$5,30013843.5%60 W · 78 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Under53c6,510$3,451 inLost-$3,450.5325744.4%114 W · 143 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Under53c5,000$2,650 inLost-$2,649.9917454.6%95 W · 79 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Over47c2,500$1,175 inWon+$1,3258959.6%53 W · 36 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Over56c2,240$1,254 inWon+$98641947.3%198 W · 221 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3134…1b18backed Over47c2,128$1,000 inWon+$1,127.669152.7%48 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90c2…f7a8backed Over47c1,826$858 inWon+$967.533100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+91.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over31c1,445$449 inWon+$995.7564747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under53c1,038$550 inLost-$5501,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Under53c1,000$530 inLost-$53011446.5%53 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over51c730$374 inWon+$355.768446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Under53c587.79$312 inLost-$311.5322548.4%109 W · 116 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb43…9d70backed Under53c566.04$300 inLost-$30011744.4%52 W · 65 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa097…fba7backed Over47c425.53$200 inWon+$225.533333.3%11 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked Under53c400$212 inLost-$2128048.8%39 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Under53c335.38$178 inLost-$177.757549.3%37 W · 38 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under51c291.08$148 inLost-$148.1854451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Under53c200$106 inLost-$10610752.3%56 W · 51 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Over47c200$94 inWon+$10613051.5%67 W · 63 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7555…ce17backed Over47c106.38$50 inWon+$56.389348.4%45 W · 48 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3846…3b9abacked Over47c106$50 inWon+$56.183961.5%24 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Under54c100$54 inLost-$5431540.6%128 W · 187 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xced0…c680backed Over47c85.11$40 inWon+$45.1113555.6%75 W · 60 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over47c83$39 inWon+$43.9977052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc739…e7abbacked Under55c63.64$35 inLost-$352360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff94…c347backed Under54c30.87$17 inLost-$16.672152.4%11 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.