NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Canadiens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09805b31e70164da70b92c1afea89e9a638dce15df00665643c01d8a1337bf8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadiensof Senators, Canadiens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $528,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $534,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $528,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Senators | 50c | 161,551$80,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,351.28 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Canadiens | 50c | 160,000$80,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,000 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x145c…43bcbacked Senators | 49c | 79,523$39,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,175.17 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Canadiens | 55c | 45,663$25,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,595.7 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Canadiens | 49c | 41,359$20,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,093.28 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Senators | 49c | 26,342$12,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,923.75 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Canadiens | 54c | 25,000$13,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,499.99 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 52c | 20,947$10,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,032.49 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Senators | 46c | 16,138$7,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,423.51 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Senators | 49c | 15,909$7,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,737.53 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Canadiens | 52c | 15,391$7,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,407.97 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Senators | 51c | 15,228$7,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,720.4 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9011…4a6abacked Senators | 50c | 15,220$7,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,610 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89e0…e403backed Canadiens | 50c | 15,220$7,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,610 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Canadiens | 53c | 13,202$6,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,211.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Canadiens | 50c | 11,780$5,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,854.39 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Senators | 49c | 9,713$4,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,741.25 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Senators | 46c | 8,995$4,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,137.67 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Canadiens | 50c | 7,200$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Canadiens | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…49a1backed Senators | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Canadiens | 48c | 5,670$2,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,975.17 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Senators | 46c | 5,495$2,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,542.58 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Canadiens | 51c | 5,490$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,690.1 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Canadiens | 51c | 5,037$2,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,464.09 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Canadiens | 51c | 4,989$2,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.38 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Senators | 24c | 4,765$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.66 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +15.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…b0dcbacked Canadiens | 52c | 4,763$2,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,301.49 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Senators | 48c | 4,674$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,243.52 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd339…d3a1backed Senators | 46c | 4,500$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Canadiens | 53c | 3,784$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,783.53 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Senators | 49c | 3,500$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Senators | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Canadiens | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Senators | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens | 54c | 2,554$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.99 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Canadiens | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Canadiens | 51c | 2,250$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.5 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Senators | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Canadiens | 52c | 2,020$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.6 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Senators | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Canadiens | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Canadiens | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Canadiens | 52c | 2,000$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Canadiens | 51c | 1,955$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.93 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcb…5731backed Canadiens | 51c | 1,800$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +5.8wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Canadiens | 53c | 1,734$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.69 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Senators | 50c | 1,674$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.66 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Senators | 47c | 1,639$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.39 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Canadiens | 51c | 1,577$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.92 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Canadiens | 64c | 1,530$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.68 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Canadiens | 52c | 1,508$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.02 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd9…ad08backed Canadiens | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Senators | 43c | 1,393$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.93 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Senators | 45c | 1,317$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.67 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Senators | 48c | 1,300$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Senators | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Canadiens | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Canadiens | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Senators | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Canadiens | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…078abacked Canadiens | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…7829backed Senators | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Senators | 49c | 982.08$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.22 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Canadiens | 53c | 959.11$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.9 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Canadiens | 51c | 946.46$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.68 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Canadiens | 52c | 927$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.96 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Canadiens | 51c | 914$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.56 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Senators | 40c | 799.76$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.33 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Canadiens | 54c | 767.46$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.51 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Canadiens | 47c | 755.28$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.26 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Canadiens | 40c | 736.83$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.13 | 201 | 37.8%76 W · 125 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Senators | 29c | 693.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Canadiens | 51c | 647.43$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.71 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Senators | 47c | 643.96$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.66 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Canadiens | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Canadiens | 49c | 519.52$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.96 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87c2…0c83backed Canadiens | 18c | 505.56$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Senators | 44c | 502.54$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.51 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Canadiens | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Canadiens | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf414…cd58backed Senators | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Canadiens | 53c | 452.83$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.83 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Canadiens | 52c | 443.99$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.12 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked Senators | 46c | 435.01$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b01…0aa5backed Canadiens | 52c | 384.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.57 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Canadiens | 49c | 371$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.21 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…0463backed Canadiens | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Canadiens | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Canadiens | 34c | 364$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.5 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Canadiens | 55c | 346.9$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.64 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Canadiens | 51c | 330.8$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.08 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Canadiens | 51c | 305.59$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.74 | 487 | 48.3%235 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Canadiens | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe219…4b23backed Canadiens | 28c | 300$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.1 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Canadiens | 40c | 275$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 171 | 53.2%91 W · 80 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…d4d8backed Canadiens | 50c | 272$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Canadiens | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Senators | 28c | 208$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e9…ac60backed Canadiens | 52c | 203$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senators vs. Canadiensthis page
- Senators vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5Over won
- Senators vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Senators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.