Tennis · resolved market
Wuhan Tennis Open: Shuai Zhang vs Coco Gauff
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2186436ad82b0e2bb8fb9e29fd5ac60256899f6ba50504f4c3057a911a375994
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gauffof Zhang, Gauff
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf41…5562backed Zhang | 15c | 10,009$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.66 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Gauff | 80c | 6,250$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 672 | 49.6%333 W · 339 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Zhang | 9c | 4,604$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.83 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb351…5fbfbacked Zhang | 17c | 3,110$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.72 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Zhang | 19c | 2,094$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Zhang | 20c | 1,337$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.56 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Zhang | 19c | 1,325$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.75 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Zhang | 3c | 1,084$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Zhang | 24c | 1,040$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.4 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Gauff | 80c | 966.85$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.32 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Zhang | 18c | 833$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Zhang | 10c | 780.05$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.92 | 248 | 37.1%92 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Zhang | 20c | 599.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.36 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…a7babacked Zhang | 9c | 450$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…8d4fbacked Zhang | 21c | 380.95$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x663a…75babacked Gauff | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…4c0abacked Zhang | 5c | 290$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…635bbacked Zhang | 21c | 280$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Zhang | 19c | 259.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9239…9584backed Zhang | 21c | 193.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Gauff | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Zhang | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Zhang | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Zhang | 20c | 93.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Zhang | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa840…2d88backed Zhang | 19c | 56.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…d2b9backed Gauff | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb34b…8c60backed Gauff | 79c | 38.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3f…994fbacked Gauff | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.