Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Izyan Ahmad
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28e9f4f0d94606ae1808f92d0e11129a9cf1ff977789ff22f589e3d4ce4cb887
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thiago Agustin Tiranteof Thiago Agustin Tirante, Izyan Ahmad
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Izyan Ahmad | 0c | 11,802$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Izyan Ahmad | 4c | 9,338$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.9 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Izyan Ahmad | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf945…7eb1backed Izyan Ahmad | 3c | 1,864$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 43 | 9.3%4 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Izyan Ahmad | 1c | 1,494$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Izyan Ahmad | 4c | 1,103$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…635bbacked Izyan Ahmad | 3c | 995.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Izyan Ahmad | 3c | 847$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 108 | 35.2%38 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Izyan Ahmad | 4c | 750$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5a…6eabbacked Izyan Ahmad | 1c | 726.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +195.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Izyan Ahmad | 3c | 666.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…8000backed Izyan Ahmad | 4c | 400$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…fb49backed Izyan Ahmad | 4c | 389$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c2…3fc7backed Izyan Ahmad | 4c | 333$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Izyan Ahmad | 5c | 267$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…b64dbacked Izyan Ahmad | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.