Tennis · resolved market
Wuhan Tennis Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Ann Li
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5bd41b38c91c5edbcf6ac9eff762b9b2bbe58e6baa31e8e45ae51dc74681bf5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alexandrovaof Alexandrova, Li
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Li | 0c | 13,596$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Li | 25c | 2,068$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.76 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Alexandrova | 75c | 1,024$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.64 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Alexandrova | 76c | 911.97$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.04 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alexandrova | 77c | 483.89$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.07 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8213…8c05backed Li | 26c | 383.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Li | 31c | 322.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Li | 23c | 255.78$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.83 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…1485backed Li | 25c | 156$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Li | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Alexandrova | 79c | 145$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Alexandrova | 76c | 127.63$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa7…04bfbacked Li | 11c | 122.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Li | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Li | 23c | 87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…635bbacked Li | 24c | 84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x663a…75babacked Alexandrova | 76c | 80.7$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Alexandrova | 77c | 72.53$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Alexandrova | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Li | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.