Serie A · resolved market
Will Genoa win on 2025-10-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea014a2f52b72f25de0e61d74897fea205f48966804277019e685145f96a1bd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 48c | 50,000$23,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,250 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 51c | 24,820$12,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,670 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yes | 53c | 15,567$8,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,250.51 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Yes | 53c | 8,868$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,699.89 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 26c | 2,120$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.16 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb29c…8f19backed No | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed No | 74c | 1,400$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 16c | 1,200$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Yes | 59c | 953.67$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.97 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 25c | 892.62$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.16 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4c…d5dbbacked No | 74c | 673.97$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +211.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 38c | 592.55$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.67 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Yes | 17c | 590.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.39 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 40c | 474.23$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.61 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…a488backed No | 74c | 472.97$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.97 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Yes | 65c | 464.02$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 27c | 410.42$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.79 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed No | 74c | 404.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.74 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed No | 75c | 400.27$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 25c | 338.6$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.65 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 26c | 318.6$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.31 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 26c | 300$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 38c | 280$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 45c | 209.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.2 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…403bbacked No | 74c | 202$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.52 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa89f…6a27backed No | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 27c | 144$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…d4e0backed No | 73c | 136.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.44per pick | 61cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…aaecbacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ec…68a8backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…635bbacked Yes | 27c | 130$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Yes | 16c | 118.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4243…35d1backed Yes | 34c | 109.47$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed No | 65c | 108.13$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 26c | 106.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked No | 74c | 94.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked No | 49c | 75.51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked No | 73c | 75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea1…6072backed No | 75c | 62.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…570bbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2b…3e5bbacked No | 74c | 62.03$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 75cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked No | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed No | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 39c | 55.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 73c | 54.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…2bccbacked No | 42c | 54.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x784b…aa7bbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…d2cbbacked No | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…2d9fbacked Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…675fbacked No | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +389.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…8150backed No | 73c | 44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aee…d6b4backed No | 75c | 43.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91b5…49d5backed No | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe949…f325backed No | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked No | 66c | 30.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…93b1backed No | 40c | 28.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67eb…2335backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6d…a980backed No | 74c | 27.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf558…6e02backed Yes | 68c | 25.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a2…d4ddbacked Yes | 61c | 22.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5620…0d88backed Yes | 63c | 22.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e1…4f54backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…6020backed No | 74c | 14.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Genoa win on 2025-10-26?this page
- Will Torino vs. Genoa end in a draw?No won
- Will Torino win on 2025-10-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.