NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43e951e32b4c0cbf564c511f1750d2ab9c41c4769ed56af17eba8faa770cdc71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Suns, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $660,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $628,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $660,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Suns | 14c | 55,732$7,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,528.82 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…b082backed Suns | 14c | 50,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Suns | 13c | 43,157$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c6…4722backed Suns | 14c | 38,860$5,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,440.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Suns | 11c | 33,137$3,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,491.19 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Suns | 14c | 25,000$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,510.3 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Suns | 6c | 16,531$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.94 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Suns | 13c | 16,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 58 | 15.5%9 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Suns | 13c | 15,217$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980.36 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc10…3f05backed Suns | 11c | 14,329$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.14 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…8a9fbacked Suns | 8c | 11,904$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.06 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce3…3bc3backed Suns | 9c | 11,887$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.75 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Suns | 8c | 10,208$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.91 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Suns | 13c | 10,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb644…d6e1backed Suns | 6c | 8,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Suns | 13c | 5,700$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.2 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Suns | 11c | 5,686$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.17 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Suns | 16c | 4,301$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.2 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…9277backed Suns | 16c | 3,975$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.33 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x531c…eb0dbacked Suns | 7c | 3,940$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.89 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Suns | 10c | 3,462$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.48 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Suns | 14c | 3,189$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.44 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Suns | 5c | 3,010$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.6 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Suns | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Suns | 1c | 2,945$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…33dbbacked Suns | 15c | 2,111$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.65 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4987…804bbacked Suns | 9c | 2,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Suns | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Suns | 1c | 1,700$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Suns | 15c | 1,667$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ee…bf85backed Suns | 5c | 1,500$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.25 | 200 | 31%62 W · 138 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…f77ebacked Suns | 4c | 1,384$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Suns | 15c | 1,300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…996cbacked Suns | 15c | 1,175$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Suns | 14c | 1,167$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.56 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc478…59bdbacked Suns | 10c | 1,087$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 17cpaid | +130.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Suns | 2c | 1,068$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe01f…276bbacked Suns | 10c | 1,033$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Suns | 8c | 1,031$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.48 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6775…17efbacked Suns | 15c | 1,005$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Suns | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…8cd4backed Suns | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b91…e572backed Suns | 10c | 1,000$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Suns | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Suns | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Suns | 13c | 912.2$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.63 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Suns | 14c | 778.57$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed Suns | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…3292backed Suns | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…a8aebacked Suns | 3c | 703.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Suns | 14c | 700$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 252 | 36.9%93 W · 159 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a4…a680backed Suns | 15c | 672.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…e05cbacked Suns | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Suns | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked Suns | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Suns | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Suns | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Suns | 13c | 610.5$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 275 | 46.9%129 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked Suns | 7c | 600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Suns | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 174 | 20.1%35 W · 139 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Suns | 15c | 599.35$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.41 | 433 | 21.2%92 W · 341 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Suns | 3c | 554.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcb…08fbbacked Suns | 13c | 553.85$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed Suns | 14c | 503.07$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.43 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x699b…fb32backed Suns | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…e101backed Suns | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa5…3f52backed Suns | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ebf…e50fbacked Suns | 7c | 463.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 651 | 44.5%290 W · 361 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50a0…440cbacked Suns | 14c | 442.86$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d5…6438backed Suns | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Suns | 14c | 399.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Suns | 13c | 398$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 289 | 40.8%118 W · 171 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…8555backed Suns | 4c | 395.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1b…7162backed Suns | 8c | 378.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Suns | 16c | 358.6$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.67 | 342 | 46.8%160 W · 182 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2506…61e3backed Suns | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…7fc9backed Suns | 14c | 351.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcded…1f6dbacked Suns | 15c | 338.87$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Suns | 15c | 333.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 166 | 17.5%29 W · 137 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Suns | 26c | 300$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…9433backed Suns | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -13.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe39e…5117backed Suns | 7c | 295.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x991e…3190backed Suns | 13c | 292.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…99febacked Suns | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd334…fcc2backed Suns | 10c | 283.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 247 | 25.9%64 W · 183 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…635bbacked Suns | 14c | 265$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Suns | 18c | 230$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3529…a599backed Suns | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Suns | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…303dbacked Suns | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…faa8backed Suns | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7321…451dbacked Suns | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Suns | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed Suns | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Suns | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x372b…cbf5backed Suns | 14c | 200$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67b…4a7abacked Suns | 15c | 198.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56dc…a336backed Suns | 14c | 184.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 714 | 37.3%266 W · 448 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a14…1100backed Suns | 8c | 178.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -5.5wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb14c…7355backed Suns | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 270 | 28.5%77 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Nuggetsthis page
- Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)Nuggets won
- Suns vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Suns vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5Over won
- Suns vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5Over won
- Suns vs. Nuggets: O/U 234.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.