TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Nuggets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nuggetsof Suns, Nuggets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$660,007
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$628,154

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $660,007 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5375…aeeabacked Suns14c55,732$7,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,528.8285742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8191…b082backed Suns14c50,000$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,999.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Suns13c43,157$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,50025925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x92c6…4722backed Suns14c38,860$5,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,440.33633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Suns11c33,137$3,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,491.1936148.5%175 W · 186 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Suns14c25,000$3,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,510.362848.7%306 W · 322 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Suns6c16,531$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.947946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00d6…aa44backed Suns13c16,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0805815.5%9 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Suns13c15,217$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,980.3635235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc10…3f05backed Suns11c14,329$1,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,576.149650%48 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd547…8a9fbacked Suns8c11,904$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.061947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ce3…3bc3backed Suns9c11,887$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.752755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Suns8c10,208$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.9120253.5%108 W · 94 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Suns13c10,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30018142%76 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb644…d6e1backed Suns6c8,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4603324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Suns13c5,700$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.275347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Suns11c5,686$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.1747535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed Suns16c4,301$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.25149%25 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xabce…9277backed Suns16c3,975$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.334450%22 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x531c…eb0dbacked Suns7c3,940$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.897843.6%34 W · 44 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Suns10c3,462$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.482,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Suns14c3,189$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.441,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Suns5c3,010$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.665218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Suns12c3,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36012334.1%42 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Suns1c2,945$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.367211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86a3…33dbbacked Suns15c2,111$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.654045%18 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4987…804bbacked Suns9c2,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1703148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Suns2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Suns1c1,700$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.57502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Suns15c1,667$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25017441.4%72 W · 102 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91ee…bf85backed Suns5c1,500$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2520031%62 W · 138 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick22cpaid+52.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe45d…f77ebacked Suns4c1,384$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6025336.8%93 W · 160 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84b8…1193backed Suns15c1,300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19534942.7%149 W · 200 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x522f…996cbacked Suns15c1,175$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.25714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-51.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Suns14c1,167$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.5627939.8%111 W · 168 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc478…59bdbacked Suns10c1,087$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102934.5%10 W · 19 L+5.1wins+0.18per pick17cpaid+130.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Suns2c1,068$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.938783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe01f…276bbacked Suns10c1,033$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003528.6%10 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-39.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed Suns8c1,031$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4817141.5%71 W · 100 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6775…17efbacked Suns15c1,005$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502650%13 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Suns10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012451.6%64 W · 60 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf967…8cd4backed Suns13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1309042.2%38 W · 52 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b91…e572backed Suns10c1,000$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Suns14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14043247.5%205 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Suns13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13061835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…feaebacked Suns13c912.2$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.635839.7%23 W · 35 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Suns14c778.57$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10993036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xece7…6979backed Suns14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012147.1%57 W · 64 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1633…3292backed Suns14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ee…a8aebacked Suns3c703.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Suns14c700$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9825236.9%93 W · 159 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a4…a680backed Suns15c672.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c42…e05cbacked Suns15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Suns15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029635.8%106 W · 190 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2862…b2ddbacked Suns15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005635.7%20 W · 36 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Suns15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043352.2%226 W · 207 L+19.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Suns15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Suns13c610.5$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8027546.9%129 W · 146 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8525…bdbabacked Suns7c600$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4212941.1%53 W · 76 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf33…261fbacked Suns15c600$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9017420.1%35 W · 139 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Suns15c599.35$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4143321.2%92 W · 341 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Suns3c554.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7880744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fcb…08fbbacked Suns13c553.85$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c1e…0cd2backed Suns14c503.07$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.432429.2%7 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick21cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x699b…fb32backed Suns13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.95123.5%12 W · 39 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick17cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2949…e101backed Suns5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfa5…3f52backed Suns12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603625%9 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ebf…e50fbacked Suns7c463.11$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0665144.5%290 W · 361 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x50a0…440cbacked Suns14c442.86$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17d5…6438backed Suns3c400$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121612.5%2 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Suns14c399.98$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5524835.1%87 W · 161 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Suns13c398$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9328940.8%118 W · 171 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf86c…8555backed Suns4c395.83$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.83850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a1b…7162backed Suns8c378.91$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed Suns16c358.6$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6734246.8%160 W · 182 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2506…61e3backed Suns14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf35…7fc9backed Suns14c351.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504134.1%14 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcded…1f6dbacked Suns15c338.87$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.89633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick18cpaid+67.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9977…085fbacked Suns15c333.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9816617.5%29 W · 137 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd02a…c712backed Suns26c300$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+37.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c36…9433backed Suns10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015641.7%65 W · 91 L-13.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-26.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe39e…5117backed Suns7c295.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x991e…3190backed Suns13c292.31$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388337.3%31 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0774…99febacked Suns14c285.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404542.2%19 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd334…fcc2backed Suns10c283.33$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2924725.9%64 W · 183 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb01…635bbacked Suns14c265$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick37cpaid-83.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Suns18c230$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.41,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3529…a599backed Suns14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307445.9%34 W · 40 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked Suns20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4018549.2%91 W · 94 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2490…303dbacked Suns15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306747.8%32 W · 35 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133b…faa8backed Suns13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7321…451dbacked Suns10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204247.6%20 W · 22 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+25%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Suns13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2660834.4%209 W · 399 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ad…6ed7backed Suns13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266139.3%24 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Suns13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2650453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x372b…cbf5backed Suns14c200$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272425%6 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf67b…4a7abacked Suns15c198.2$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.734447.7%21 W · 23 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56dc…a336backed Suns14c184.36$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8171437.3%266 W · 448 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a14…1100backed Suns8c178.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153721.6%8 W · 29 L-5.5wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-47.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb14c…7355backed Suns14c178.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2527028.5%77 W · 193 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.