Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
California Golden Bears vs. Florida State Seminoles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28eefc6b4dae6baeb691adf931901b88a916baab20e108b9419fbea31d6347df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida State Seminolesof California Golden Bears, Florida State Seminoles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,997 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44fd…b634backed California Golden Bears | 43c | 27,823$11,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,854.66 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Florida State Seminoles | 58c | 24,000$13,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,079.99 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked California Golden Bears | 42c | 14,265$5,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,969.35 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Florida State Seminoles | 57c | 11,456$6,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,877.74 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Florida State Seminoles | 60c | 7,707$4,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,116.05 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed California Golden Bears | 30c | 6,800$2,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.27 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed California Golden Bears | 41c | 6,135$2,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,515.43 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Florida State Seminoles | 70c | 5,530$3,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.94 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed California Golden Bears | 40c | 4,407$1,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.73 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Florida State Seminoles | 64c | 4,214$2,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.04 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4d…8e7ebacked Florida State Seminoles | 63c | 3,474$2,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.21 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed California Golden Bears | 45c | 3,336$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.03 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Florida State Seminoles | 59c | 2,667$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.57 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked California Golden Bears | 21c | 2,380$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.73 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Florida State Seminoles | 60c | 2,336$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.11 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked California Golden Bears | 2c | 2,212$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Florida State Seminoles | 80c | 2,026$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.4 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Florida State Seminoles | 57c | 1,860$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.8 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Florida State Seminoles | 79c | 1,810$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.02 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Florida State Seminoles | 62c | 1,642$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.12 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Florida State Seminoles | 68c | 1,532$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.19 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Florida State Seminoles | 57c | 1,220$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.39 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked California Golden Bears | 36c | 1,166$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.25 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Florida State Seminoles | 77c | 1,034$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.39 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…971abacked California Golden Bears | 54c | 1,013$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed California Golden Bears | 2c | 1,002$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 136 | 3.7%5 W · 131 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed California Golden Bears | 14c | 980.95$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.56 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Florida State Seminoles | 72c | 828.36$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.64 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed California Golden Bears | 10c | 825.92$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.99 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Florida State Seminoles | 58c | 660.53$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.42 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Florida State Seminoles | 54c | 578.07$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.91 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed California Golden Bears | 21c | 565.77$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.01 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed California Golden Bears | 27c | 511.81$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.66 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Florida State Seminoles | 63c | 384.83$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.39 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed California Golden Bears | 36c | 375.97$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.35 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked California Golden Bears | 39c | 374.2$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.23 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Florida State Seminoles | 60c | 359.26$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.38 | 258 | 29.5%76 W · 182 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked California Golden Bears | 42c | 354.1$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.72 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c2…3fc7backed California Golden Bears | 21c | 333$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.93 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Florida State Seminoles | 63c | 312.43$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.63 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked California Golden Bears | 39c | 299.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Florida State Seminoles | 60c | 299.82$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.16 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Florida State Seminoles | 63c | 262.52$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.68 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed California Golden Bears | 42c | 236.08$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.15 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed California Golden Bears | 11c | 229.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 115 | 7%8 W · 107 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9685…718ebacked Florida State Seminoles | 79c | 218.72$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.93 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Florida State Seminoles | 58c | 211.98$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.03 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked California Golden Bears | 24c | 210.63$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked California Golden Bears | 20c | 201.53$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked California Golden Bears | 38c | 195.9$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.51 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…635bbacked Florida State Seminoles | 79c | 183.93$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked California Golden Bears | 28c | 183.39$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Florida State Seminoles | 58c | 179$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.18 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed California Golden Bears | 42c | 165.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.4 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Florida State Seminoles | 65c | 152.62$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.42 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed California Golden Bears | 21c | 151.39$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Florida State Seminoles | 61c | 146.93$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 244 | 32%78 W · 166 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Florida State Seminoles | 64c | 130.7$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked California Golden Bears | 42c | 127.9$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.72 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked California Golden Bears | 41c | 125.01$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa82f…ba73backed California Golden Bears | 40c | 123.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Florida State Seminoles | 68c | 119.88$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.01 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d17…32d8backed California Golden Bears | 17c | 119.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbf…9047backed California Golden Bears | 14c | 119.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked California Golden Bears | 39c | 115.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed California Golden Bears | 39c | 113.95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked California Golden Bears | 36c | 108.12$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked California Golden Bears | 39c | 106.34$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.46 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed Florida State Seminoles | 54c | 104.39$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.69 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed California Golden Bears | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked California Golden Bears | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked California Golden Bears | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed California Golden Bears | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x537e…b626backed California Golden Bears | 22c | 99.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed California Golden Bears | 18c | 93.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed California Golden Bears | 36c | 93.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked California Golden Bears | 41c | 90.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Florida State Seminoles | 57c | 86.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Florida State Seminoles | 59c | 84.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Florida State Seminoles | 62c | 81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a5…d47bbacked California Golden Bears | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked California Golden Bears | 38c | 79.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed California Golden Bears | 42c | 72.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x409b…21e8backed California Golden Bears | 42c | 70.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc2…8c9abacked California Golden Bears | 20c | 69.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed California Golden Bears | 42c | 64.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed California Golden Bears | 47c | 63.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed California Golden Bears | 42c | 63.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed California Golden Bears | 42c | 60.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Florida State Seminoles | 61c | 59.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked California Golden Bears | 42c | 58.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed California Golden Bears | 36c | 55.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed California Golden Bears | 37c | 53.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked California Golden Bears | 28c | 53.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9d…1299backed Florida State Seminoles | 59c | 50.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Florida State Seminoles | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed California Golden Bears | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…a7b8backed Florida State Seminoles | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed California Golden Bears | 38c | 48.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Florida State Seminoles | 63c | 47.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- California Golden Bears vs. Florida State Seminolesthis page
- California Golden Bears vs. Florida State Seminoles: O/U 152.5Over won
- California Golden Bears vs. Florida State Seminoles: O/U 154.5Over won
- Spread: Florida State Seminoles (-3.5)Florida State Seminoles won
- Spread: Florida State Seminoles (-4.5)Florida State Seminoles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.