Serie A · resolved market
AC Milan vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x841f4338141b01a8b4a4d7ef4446db045a03e216a5ac472e6914241cfeeb4bae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,085
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,085 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7fa…deaabacked Yes | 51c | 1,753$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 48c | 1,428$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.41 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 49c | 999.97$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 48c | 999.84$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.85 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 56c | 469.99$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.89 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No | 43c | 356.12$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.99 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 51c | 212.35$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.3 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed No | 41c | 208.62$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…7fe3backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd565…3f5abacked Yes | 53c | 190.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 50c | 121$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.91 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 53c | 114.91$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.24per pick | 43cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…b8bdbacked No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 116 | 66.4%77 W · 39 L | +14.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…833bbacked Yes | 51c | 79.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Yes | 52c | 76.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…6349backed Yes | 53c | 53.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked No | 44c | 43.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9be2…829fbacked Yes | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5348…a34fbacked No | 55c | 36.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…ec07backed Yes | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Yes | 52c | 34.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c74…5383backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee4…4b3ebacked No | 51c | 19.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…5857backed Yes | 69c | 17.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AC Milan vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AC Milan vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: AC Milan (-0.5)AC Milan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.