CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Natus Vincere (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4b4485652545d08c630c4a642426de641ab0666e23b955278a87329f558ef6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astralisof Astralis, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $136,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Astralis | 31c | 34,048$10,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,368.23 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 13,528$10,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,152.32 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 59cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 10,691$7,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,590.6 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 7,808$4,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,033.79 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Astralis | 52c | 7,727$4,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,709.1 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 6,153$4,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,128.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 5,082$2,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,654.44 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Astralis | 29c | 4,948$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,512.95 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 4,664$3,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,451.39 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Astralis | 26c | 4,500$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,330 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed Astralis | 30c | 4,305$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000.48 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Astralis | 49c | 3,314$1,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.39 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…1a67backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 3,300$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.99 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 3,272$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720.37 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f33…63c8backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 3,178$2,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,255.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd735…968ebacked Astralis | 37c | 2,716$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.13 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdf…ec4bbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 2,350$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.87 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 124 | 65.3%81 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,953$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 1,747$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.12 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…4b41backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 1,668$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.38 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 1,505$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.04 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…ee55backed Astralis | 41c | 1,209$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.61 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Astralis | 33c | 1,200$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Astralis | 26c | 1,200$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.04 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 1,190$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.13 | 969 | 45.6%442 W · 527 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 1,189$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.61 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Astralis | 24c | 1,139$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.57 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 1,061$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.98 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 1,050$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.65 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Astralis | 49c | 1,050$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.52 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Astralis | 38c | 1,008$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.63 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 253 | 61.3%155 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Astralis | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Astralis | 56c | 898.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.68 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 850.94$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Astralis | 48c | 827.08$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.08 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 814.75$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Astralis | 63c | 740.12$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.4 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1e…2a68backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Astralis | 26c | 709.66$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.19 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2541…10a8backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 692.58$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Astralis | 48c | 668.99$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.88 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Astralis | 36c | 666$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.24 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Astralis | 38c | 651.32$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.82 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 378 | 51.9%196 W · 182 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 620$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439 | 105 | 38.1%40 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc63f…8032backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 609.95$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.16 | 385 | 52.2%201 W · 184 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 519.83$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.54 | 859 | 46.1%396 W · 463 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Astralis | 27c | 499.98$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.99 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Astralis | 39c | 470.6$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.61 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 455$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.7 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Astralis | 44c | 448.91$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.36 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…bcfcbacked Astralis | 63c | 424.29$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.99 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…0710backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 400$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 127 | 63%80 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa05b…a94fbacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 377.67$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.25 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -6.4wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf87a…82f7backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 359.79$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.85 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -7.0wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 355.01$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.51 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…d974backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 336.73$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | -18.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed Astralis | 25c | 328.12$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.09 | 93 | 29%27 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis | 49c | 311.85$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.36 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 310.32$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.1 | 211 | 39.3%83 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 309.17$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.4 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 303.31$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.18 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 300$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 983 | 52.4%515 W · 468 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d51…4946backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 282.45$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 280.91$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.55 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd116…be32backed Astralis | 46c | 276.11$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.1 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 271.33$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd565…3f5abacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 259.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4d…757fbacked Astralis | 39c | 257.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.75 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbb…fc88backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.5 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…8ec7backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 244.55$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.49 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe00c…e240backed Astralis | 77c | 243.06$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 240.4$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 217$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.67 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…ebbfbacked Astralis | 31c | 205.35$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.69 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +89%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b0…6960backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 200$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.2 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Astralis | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Astralis | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 646 | 52.8%341 W · 305 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Astralis | 34c | 198.1$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.46 | 420 | 57.6%242 W · 178 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 197.42$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.62 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…d4c9backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 192.29$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Astralis | 26c | 188$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.12 | 634 | 45.3%287 W · 347 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd72e…3627backed Astralis | 40c | 174.42$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.32 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…51edbacked Astralis | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9f…578abacked Astralis | 45c | 161.85$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.48 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe180…889bbacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 152.05$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa96a…d8e0backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Astralis | 26c | 150$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 423 | 41.8%177 W · 246 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Astralis | 47c | 142.6$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.62 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Astralis | 58c | 142.59$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.59 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1886…d87fbacked Astralis | 70c | 142.35$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.89 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5076…e15dbacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 140.48$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.36 | 319 | 59.9%191 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 138.26$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.3 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Natus Vincere (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 WinnerAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.