TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will France win on 2025-09-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$133,907
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$165,770

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,907 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8c30…322abacked Yes75c28,692$21,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,227.35540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed No25c10,000$2,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,534.994341.9%18 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1d9…4ce3backed No28c9,664$2,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,716.091711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick20cpaid-55.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed No25c9,197$2,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,301.33243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No26c4,200$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,07423622%52 W · 184 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes74c4,054$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.053243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No26c3,510$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.785042%21 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Yes75c3,381$2,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.332572%18 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed Yes72c2,941$2,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.393743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No25c2,664$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.6724647.6%117 W · 129 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No27c2,263$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61112525.6%32 W · 93 L-0.2wins0.00per pick26cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac93…1c13backed Yes74c2,025$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.25714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick46cpaid-80.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No5c2,020$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.6228133.1%93 W · 188 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed No24c1,585$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.15832.8%19 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x967d…ef6abacked Yes74c1,345$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.156473.4%47 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No26c1,136$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.0342352%220 W · 203 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34cf…7188backed No27c1,111$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002035%7 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x76ba…aa45backed Yes73c1,090$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.443100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed No27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2702623.1%6 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-41.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd4a…048ebacked No25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc67b…c149backed Yes75c939.27$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.6514052.1%73 W · 67 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b25…b5ccbacked Yes73c826.54$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.54955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked No26c800$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2082317.4%4 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-58.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes73c684.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.932965.5%19 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd74f…ff78backed Yes74c676$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick73cpaid+38%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27a9…8781backed Yes75c666.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.672951.7%15 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcde3…002dbacked Yes73c661.15$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.51785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick73cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No12c609.82$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.053,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked No25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506540%26 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed No28c600$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16813419.4%26 W · 108 L+0.3wins0.00per pick19cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed No27c599.98$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1629618.8%18 W · 78 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-36.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No25c592$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14814040.7%57 W · 83 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No27c499.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1352740.7%11 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf321…ddeebacked Yes75c409.91$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.417058.6%41 W · 29 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012047.5%57 W · 63 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes74c400$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1048949.4%44 W · 45 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes74c399$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.745070%35 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7db…6c7cbacked Yes73c394.41$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.49875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd565…3f5abacked No26c380$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.81428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c7e…3748backed Yes73c370.55$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.92055%11 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed No17c364.4$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.042638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa7…9a4dbacked Yes74c363.59$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09fe…76eebacked No27c321.03$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6817856.2%100 W · 78 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x945e…353dbacked Yes72c308$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.248554.1%46 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No27c287.25$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5616244.4%72 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes75c282.67$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.675255.8%29 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c6…09b5backed Yes73c272.11$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.52875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa614…da1abacked Yes74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.27666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50f7…7272backed Yes74c250$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6513258.3%77 W · 55 L-0.7wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ab5…13abbacked Yes74c202.7$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf750…4abbbacked Yes73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542548%12 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cfb…de50backed No28c200$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick32cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes75c186.67$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.675453.7%29 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe782…e7d9backed Yes72c177.92$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.131560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No26c151.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5235848.3%173 W · 185 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf267…0a4cbacked Yes71c150$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.92737%10 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdeb4…f458backed Yes75c146.67$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.899140.7%37 W · 54 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfade…283bbacked Yes72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.89425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-65.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.997950.6%40 W · 39 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x92a5…eb80backed Yes73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.991968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9911554.8%63 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.991450%7 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0fc…0ef5backed Yes73c136.16$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.76666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c35…c311backed Yes75c133.34$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.34850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.332055%11 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a64…cd34backed Yes75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331080%8 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+48.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3310629.2%31 W · 75 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x879b…2f18backed Yes75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x944e…7f73backed Yes75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02c7…ee5cbacked Yes77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.871957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed No27c129.63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee5f…bafbbacked Yes72c109.24$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.59475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked No21c109$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.353243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Yes71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293271.9%23 W · 9 L+4.7wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+29.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d4d…6d87backed Yes77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89d1…6448backed Yes73c95.89$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.89955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xacdf…0ec4backed Yes75c94.69$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.67850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d22…6743backed Yes75c87.09$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No26c86$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6420245.5%92 W · 110 L-13.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x66c2…0aa5backed Yes75c80.51$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.132100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+94.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20c7…50c9backed Yes75c74.67$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.675343.4%23 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb61c…353cbacked Yes72c70.19$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.652100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb86…d510backed Yes72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.442100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92e2…d22ebacked Yes72c69.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.37366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4db0…e467backed Yes75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.671668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+35.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdf5e…7760backed Yes75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.67944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f7a…5395backed Yes75c59.93$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6be…5a9ebacked Yes72c53.24$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.91580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148932.6%29 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick27cpaid-11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc48d…8a40backed Yes74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132673.1%19 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84dc…9c02backed No26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf430…675abacked Yes73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.51668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dc…e03abacked Yes75c49.04$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.264100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb93a…c472backed No29c47.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf375…a63ebacked Yes73c34.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.251154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick68cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5453…b886backed Yes71c34$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf0f…addabacked Yes73c32.88$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.883268.8%22 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdda9…d4cbbacked Yes74c29.12$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.