Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc5b39eccf02a1eae796a781c4fb107de9deeb79d8b1a34c11004360599651bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $191,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $221,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 26,128$14,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,175.34 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,650 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 48c | 11,290$5,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,866.7 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 57c | 8,845$5,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,032.59 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 49c | 5,972$2,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,926.27 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -14.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes | 49c | 5,000$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 46c | 4,999$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,719.65 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Yes | 50c | 4,984$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,483.74 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 51c | 4,980$2,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed No | 51c | 4,614$2,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,344.54 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 49c | 4,326$2,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,137.09 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 56c | 3,920$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,189.9 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64aa…1dc7backed Yes | 51c | 3,404$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.23 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.34per pick | 55cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Yes | 49c | 3,333$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…e32ebacked Yes | 49c | 3,060$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.82 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes | 51c | 2,706$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.73 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 58c | 2,666$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.88 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Yes | 48c | 2,429$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.07 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked No | 52c | 2,090$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 51c | 1,596$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.8 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 66c | 1,518$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -41%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…3c7abacked Yes | 33c | 1,510$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.02 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 48c | 1,490$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 49c | 1,490$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.44 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 46c | 1,303$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.7 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc755…d0c4backed Yes | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f99cbacked Yes | 49c | 1,250$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 51c | 1,247$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.47 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 53c | 1,205$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.37 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 51c | 1,061$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.63 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 48c | 1,058$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.19 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Yes | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 47c | 870$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.2 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…c149backed Yes | 48c | 861.38$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes | 52c | 797.42$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.76 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 49c | 742.43$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.79 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…2943backed Yes | 50c | 700.02$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 43c | 697.94$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.94 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 57c | 659.36$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.35 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 39c | 608.35$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.16 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…188ebacked Yes | 49c | 506.42$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.42 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Yes | 49c | 506.12$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.12 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 37c | 504.25$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.07 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Yes | 31c | 500$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 74c | 480.72$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.98 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 48c | 462.5$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.5 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 48c | 458.33$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.33 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 47c | 436.09$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.09 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…de20backed Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Yes | 47c | 421.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 49c | 405.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.16 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.44per pick | 44cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 50c | 401.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.86 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 48c | 400$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.66 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 44cpaid | +110.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d08…0e4fbacked Yes | 47c | 400$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 51c | 392.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.41 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 42c | 389.38$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.38 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Yes | 31c | 385.08$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.08 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 49c | 375$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.79 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ed…d13dbacked Yes | 49c | 367.35$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 52c | 344.44$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.06 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac3…d015backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1758…5d73backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1a…6258backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…5da0backed Yes | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b83…8223backed Yes | 73c | 262.57$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.64 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…3d44backed Yes | 48c | 245.67$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.67 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…b34bbacked Yes | 51c | 235.41$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed No | 51c | 225$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 44c | 212.5$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.5 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x651a…a2ccbacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 46cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30a6…4bd3backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…8480backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed No | 51c | 204$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.1 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 30c | 200$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…3e6cbacked No | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2076…bf0dbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 71c | 198.08$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 150 | 71.3%107 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4135…2d72backed Yes | 48c | 187.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 47c | 187$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.89 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Yes | 48c | 169.44$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Yes | 50c | 167$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0db7…5c06backed Yes | 50c | 163.22$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.61 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed No | 53c | 161.96$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -71%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-14?this page
- Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-12-14?No won
- Will Olympique de Marseille vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.