TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Olympique de Marseille vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$94,839
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,728

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,839 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Yes63c25,154$15,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,809.4862648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes25c14,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5001625%4 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-56.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No15c8,790$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,43820232.7%66 W · 136 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes26c7,142$1,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,825.6514337.1%53 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No74c6,756$4,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,756.566454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes27c5,271$1,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,419.031,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes25c5,000$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25014346.9%67 W · 76 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes26c5,000$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3102638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No9c4,886$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,440.7224642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a7c…eab7backed No75c1,545$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed No70c1,500$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4456553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed No48c1,386$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.731968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No20c1,091$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.8723153.2%123 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c67…63fcbacked No75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No75c929.72$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.139051.1%46 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Yes32c852$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.383135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes25c786.36$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.9326845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No61c785.73$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.4137638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes25c762.85$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.7135037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked No74c738.85$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.12653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8276…1204backed No76c668.42$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.424100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+46.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes26c663$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.2224044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc97…7d32backed No52c550.33$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-57%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-71%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…a3d6backed Yes54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No80c342.53$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3926040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeac8…bca4backed No75c333.31$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No70c323.59$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.251,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No67c321$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.7226346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7531049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7511735.9%42 W · 75 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No74c297$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.226756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c8a…398ebacked Yes54c279.63$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x823d…3d44backed Yes26c269.56$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+34.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0b3…6bfcbacked No66c261.42$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes27c259.17$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.319348.4%45 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes26c230.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609641.7%40 W · 56 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No69c229.37$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0671140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No74c223.83$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1911355.8%63 W · 50 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes15c212.97$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9535157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No74c187.18$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.679858.2%57 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x76e4…205dbacked Yes27c185.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked No57c175$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.757068.6%48 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No74c163$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3859348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed No75c152.36$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.092050%10 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No75c150$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.53158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes26c141$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.662924.1%7 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed Yes25c139$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.051323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.23per pick46cpaid-66.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No74c126.32$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8414654.1%79 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No74c122.6$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8823260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No74c118$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6810948.6%53 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Yes28c111$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.08728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-30.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d65…7d4abacked Yes37c108.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Yes17c106$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.02450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No74c103$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.788263.4%52 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274833.3%16 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…964dbacked No10c100$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick10cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf292…b60cbacked Yes30c94.7$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.41540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52bb…2b47backed No75c93$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No74c80$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.817756.5%100 W · 77 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No74c80$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.813655.9%76 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No74c74$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2410952.3%57 W · 52 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Yes16c72$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.525446.3%25 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8eda…1847backed No75c67.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.791040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-34.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No74c61.02$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.777252.8%38 W · 34 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No74c59$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.344562.2%28 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No74c59$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.345364.2%34 W · 19 L+7.0wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No74c59$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.348653.5%46 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No74c59$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.349355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No74c59$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.349954.5%54 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No74c59$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.348460.7%51 W · 33 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No74c58$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.088755.2%48 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed No74c58$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.084759.6%28 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d9f…0852backed No75c54.41$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.61788.2%15 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick75cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No74c53$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7811556.5%65 W · 50 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x064f…e8e6backed Yes25c52.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b74…b58fbacked No75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed No79c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.52343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed Yes26c49$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43b8…4c31backed Yes25c49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No74c44$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4411256.3%63 W · 49 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No74c44$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.447163.4%45 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7f43…47edbacked Yes26c44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb82d…5d1ebacked Yes38c42$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.96757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+84.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked No74c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.47352.1%38 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e53…58e1backed No75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d55…6014backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbabd…9d56backed No75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e85…d253backed No72c37$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.362100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbe8…47f8backed No72c37$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9014…db4abacked No74c33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.586053.3%32 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed No74c33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.587057.1%40 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No76c30.78$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5423151.5%119 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.810653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked No74c29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.542259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked No74c29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.543464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No74c29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.549354.8%51 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed No74c29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.543161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.