Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-12-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ee41a57395f68099b530c93f9c16618ed72b37a98773a3ea461fbe04e10a4ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Yes | 28c | 10,714$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cb…4a0cbacked Yes | 26c | 7,697$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 6,437$1,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.87 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 5,519$3,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.93 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Yes | 28c | 5,403$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 74c | 4,194$3,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.39 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 72c | 3,979$2,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.12 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -14.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,967$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 2,692$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.29 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 73c | 2,675$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.23 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked No | 74c | 2,013$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 14c | 1,965$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.98 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 23c | 1,882$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.81 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 74c | 1,716$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.27 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed No | 75c | 1,615$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.42 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 74c | 1,178$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.37 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x114f…42c6backed No | 74c | 1,152$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed Yes | 6c | 1,085$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.55 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 27c | 1,022$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.49 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125e…992cbacked No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 26c | 851.02$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.27 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Yes | 2c | 720.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…6d9cbacked No | 73c | 700$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 26c | 675.91$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.11 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 57c | 625$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.02 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8276…1204backed No | 74c | 608.11$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.11 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 26c | 510$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.6 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 28c | 473.79$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.4 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 73c | 428.77$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.77 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b83…8223backed Yes | 64c | 384.57$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.74 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…3d44backed Yes | 27c | 368.94$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 27c | 362$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -71%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…5480backed No | 73c | 348.39$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.95 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 42cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Yes | 13c | 323$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4d4cbacked No | 73c | 306.92$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 34c | 301.45$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.8 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked No | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 74c | 300$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 73c | 256.01$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.45 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 29c | 248.57$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked No | 35c | 231.54$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.97 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 25c | 228.2$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.05 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed No | 74c | 224$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed No | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 72c | 190.24$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.77 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 74c | 179.93$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.78 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…f2f7backed No | 76c | 160.3$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.52 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…50e0backed No | 75c | 140$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07ce…75e0backed No | 75c | 140$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb66…3272backed No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 127.35$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.76 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed No | 74c | 127.18$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 30c | 118.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 74c | 118$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 74c | 118$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba1…1703backed Yes | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 26c | 109.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed No | 74c | 108$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 74c | 108$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 74c | 103$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa23b…db15backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 29c | 96.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed No | 71c | 89.24$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 25c | 87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 73c | 83.56$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Yes | 27c | 79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…3773backed Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Yes | 25c | 77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 38c | 75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 40c | 74.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…b60cbacked No | 75c | 74.35$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5571…4015backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x456d…68d9backed No | 73c | 73.79$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…d4d3backed Yes | 29c | 70.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 62c | 70$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 150 | 71.3%107 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Yes | 23c | 70$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +7.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…fb9dbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb3…ae1ebacked Yes | 28c | 64.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…9036backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdb…4851backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed No | 74c | 59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa4…5332backed No | 74c | 56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48c7…fee8backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 23c | 54.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fb…7c39backed Yes | 33c | 54.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked No | 74c | 54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…bd06backed No | 73c | 53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 74c | 53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 140 | 45%63 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…3e6cbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-12-14?this page
- Will Olympique de Marseille vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.