TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-12-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,153
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,277

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,153 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x95b8…47c9backed Yes28c10,714$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-34.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6cb…4a0cbacked Yes26c7,697$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes27c6,437$1,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,762.871,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No72c5,519$3,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,534.9371140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Yes28c5,403$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No74c4,194$3,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.396454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No72c3,979$2,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.127529.3%22 W · 53 L-14.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-48.2%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes1c2,967$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.67368.3%3 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-36.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No66c2,692$1,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.2962648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No73c2,675$1,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.2314654.1%79 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0801…35cbbacked No74c2,013$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.39540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes14c1,965$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.9837638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes23c1,882$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.816648.5%32 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No74c1,716$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.2711355.8%63 W · 50 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed No75c1,615$1,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.421643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-32.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No74c1,178$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.3723153.2%123 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x114f…42c6backed No74c1,152$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85df…9124backed Yes6c1,085$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5590%0 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes27c1,022$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.491735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+88.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x125e…992cbacked No73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes26c851.02$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.273050%15 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Yes2c720.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.392050%10 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e8d…6d9cbacked No73c700$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-65.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes26c675.91$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.1126845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9776…fc56backed Yes30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked No57c625$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.023135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8276…1204backed No74c608.11$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.114100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+46.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes26c510$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.635037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes28c473.79$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.49348.4%45 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No73c428.77$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.7716644.6%74 W · 92 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b83…8223backed Yes64c384.57$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.741154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x823d…3d44backed Yes27c368.94$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+34.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes27c362$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5814337.1%53 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-71%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a9c…5480backed No73c348.39$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.95911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick42cpaid-84.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Yes13c323$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.991838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd502…4d4cbacked No73c306.92$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.44666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed No34c301.45$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.82638.5%10 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7833938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked No73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812040%8 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No74c300$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.54940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No73c256.01$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4512343.9%54 W · 69 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes29c248.57$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716342.9%27 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked No35c231.54$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.972157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+38.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes25c228.2$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0523151.5%119 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3846…c908backed No74c224$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.24366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54fe…5850backed No68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+43.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No72c190.24$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7735157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No74c179.93$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.789858.2%57 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc450…f2f7backed No76c160.3$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.521566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes27c148.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ef2…50e0backed No75c140$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07ce…75e0backed No75c140$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb66…3272backed No76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No72c127.35$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7635650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed No74c127.18$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.71323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.23per pick46cpaid-66.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes30c118.75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.041,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No74c118$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6810948.6%53 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No74c118$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6823260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Yes26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303616.7%6 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-40.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba1…1703backed Yes31c112.9$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353721.6%8 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed Yes26c109.3$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.429051.1%46 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No74c108$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.088653.5%46 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No74c108$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.089954.5%54 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No74c103$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.788263.4%52 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2531049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2610952.3%57 W · 52 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa23b…db15backed No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-54.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes29c96.55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287044.3%31 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed No71c89.24$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.887755.8%43 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes25c87$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7524044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed No73c83.56$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.565160.8%31 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No74c80$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.817756.5%100 W · 77 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No74c80$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.813655.9%76 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba36…52d0backed Yes27c79$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.331030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-36.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad58…3773backed Yes32c78.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+50.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x216f…9b1ebacked Yes25c77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No38c75$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.516242%68 W · 94 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No40c74.58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.75955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf292…b60cbacked No75c74.35$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.67540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5571…4015backed Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x456d…68d9backed No73c73.79$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b2b…d4d3backed Yes29c70.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.51540%6 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes62c70$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.415071.3%107 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Yes23c70$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.13070%21 W · 9 L+7.5wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+63.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xacb2…fb9dbacked Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb3…ae1ebacked Yes28c64.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-28.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0e…9036backed Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+75.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cdb…4851backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+42.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed No74c59$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.342657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3aa4…5332backed No74c56$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48c7…fee8backed Yes27c55.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-51%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes23c54.52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.547252.8%38 W · 34 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1fb…7c39backed Yes33c54.02$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.59250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked No74c54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.043464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xacac…bd06backed No73c53$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.314100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No74c53$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7811556.5%65 W · 50 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2514045%63 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked Yes26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick36cpaid-37.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x215b…3e6cbacked Yes26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.