TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,992
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,870

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,992 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Over27c3,044$817 inLost-$817.028,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under73c2,000$1,460 inWon+$54086452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under74c799.96$592 inWon+$207.9945038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e3d…85abbacked Under73c522.51$381 inWon+$141.0836448.6%177 W · 187 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Over26c423.08$110 inLost-$11054917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under73c364.81$268 inWon+$96.933,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41c2…b6a5backed Over26c364.08$95 inLost-$94.665248.1%25 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under74c281.08$208 inWon+$73.0877152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under74c208.96$155 inWon+$54.333,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under73c175.53$128 inWon+$47.3946550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0af…0d7abacked Over26c160.88$42 inLost-$41.831127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f79…69cabacked Over26c115.38$30 inLost-$302045%9 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x835d…f8dbbacked Over26c115.38$30 inLost-$301717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0f9…8739backed Under40c103.16$41 inWon+$62.241323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick16cpaid-55.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over26c74.05$19 inLost-$19.258338.6%32 W · 51 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under74c69$51 inWon+$18.033,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over26c63$16 inLost-$16.383,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under72c41.48$30 inWon+$11.6170648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdca1…fb09backed Over32c38.09$12 inLost-$12.196624.2%16 W · 50 L+7.5wins+0.11per pick13cpaid+92.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under73c32.98$24 inWon+$8.793,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under74c30$22 inWon+$7.876551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under75c20$15 inWon+$51,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc70b…d2f2backed Under73c15.67$11 inWon+$4.2340240%161 W · 241 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Under73c14.39$11 inWon+$3.8936558.4%213 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.