Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4006e8d3be2f64fc0124129871a9b580f3c92bd85713369fee50467c584dad4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $195,910
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $218,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,910 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c44…5eefbacked Yes | 0c | 16,350$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 16,239$9,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,538.31 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2807…27d5backed Yes | 1c | 10,044$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 9,808$7,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,233.14 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 18c | 8,086$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.79 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 6,202$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.93 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Yes | 5c | 5,612$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.72 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 53c | 5,573$2,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,606.09 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 5,268$3,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.3 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 73c | 3,104$2,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.57 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Yes | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.99 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Yes | 28c | 2,525$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 48cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…50d7backed Yes | 77c | 2,165$1,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,673.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5aa…54c1backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb0…a15cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,999$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…85e4backed Yes | 6c | 1,700$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked Yes | 12c | 1,670$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.39 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 13cpaid | +128%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 78c | 1,620$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.45 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 17c | 1,607$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.64 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 19c | 1,515$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.88 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Yes | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…c230backed Yes | 13c | 1,464$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.95 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 20c | 1,346$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.29 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x959f…9e2fbacked Yes | 30c | 1,323$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 79c | 1,240$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.28 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Yes | 78c | 1,053$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…445ebacked Yes | 15c | 1,050$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +140.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…c249backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 29c | 999.7$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.91 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked No | 8c | 941.55$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.04 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +95.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 18c | 923.13$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.16 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…b809backed Yes | 19c | 898.44$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.7 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes | 31c | 861.29$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 62c | 853.12$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.63 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…d098backed Yes | 31c | 834.36$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Yes | 75c | 809.32$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.71 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…c7a1backed Yes | 51c | 803.33$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 69c | 802.26$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.58 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…02d2backed No | 79c | 770.66$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.84 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…c5d0backed No | 80c | 750$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 31c | 717$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.97 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Yes | 13c | 700$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…09d0backed Yes | 31c | 671.33$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed Yes | 20c | 636.68$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.34 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 23c | 613.37$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.48 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes | 26c | 569.12$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d5…728fbacked Yes | 27c | 559.04$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Yes | 18c | 536.87$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.34 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 19c | 522$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.03 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…3839backed Yes | 79c | 507.59$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb8…902abacked Yes | 10c | 452.46$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 28cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Yes | 15c | 450$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Yes | 20c | 450$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…50d3backed Yes | 23c | 413.04$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked Yes | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed Yes | 77c | 405.83$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.75 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 24c | 399.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.9 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…04b5backed No | 10c | 393.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.41 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42df…bb2fbacked Yes | 8c | 387.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09a7…3de9backed Yes | 46c | 381.01$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Yes | 30c | 380.3$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.61 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 27c | 371.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb84e…f401backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 48c | 352$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.59 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 20c | 350$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 24c | 329.22$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.96 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…f14fbacked Yes | 31c | 326.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e3…9b30backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed Yes | 24c | 315.7$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.77 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Yes | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f7…ae57backed Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Yes | 9c | 299.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked Yes | 8c | 299.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Yes | 27c | 278.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25fa…cabcbacked Yes | 30c | 277.42$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb94f…07a6backed Yes | 72c | 275.17$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe828…82d1backed Yes | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb56f…437dbacked Yes | 79c | 273.77$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed Yes | 18c | 272.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f87…4a86backed Yes | 31c | 258.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbea2…f8f3backed Yes | 31c | 258.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x186e…3ba3backed No | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes | 11c | 255.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…cea5backed No | 21c | 252$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcab3…5e13backed Yes | 13c | 250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe50…618abacked Yes | 16c | 240$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +267.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…fe38backed Yes | 12c | 225$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +178.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb48e…d489backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…96edbacked Yes | 17c | 205.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 73c | 203.19$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.02 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 74c | 200.87$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.23 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 15cpaid | +99%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…e7babacked Yes | 74c | 195.3$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 75cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?Yes won
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.