TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x09a7…3de9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: La Liga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 55 out of 100; worst UFC at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mumbai Indians win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$135.19
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.53
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.27
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.18
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$22.39
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.28
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.74
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$307.39
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.56
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.16
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.51
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+118.3%+$71.16
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
T20 World Cup: India vs South Africabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.15
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+212.6%+$233.88
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.87
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.11
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$81.92
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.19
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.07
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.92
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+109.9%+$243.78
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+174.9%+$87.43
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+105.5%+$21.09
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+81.1%+$24.33
All 16 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+83.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.87
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.68
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+106.4%+$42.55
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$52.5
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+154.3%+$46.28
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Girona FC win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+669.2%+$100.38
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: England (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+250.5%+$112.7
Spread: England (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.22
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.08
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.41
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+95.1%+$95.12
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 10 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-51.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-4.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$100.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.