TailMyPicks
Market

Tennis · resolved market

Santiago: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Daniel Dutra da Silva

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Joao Lucas Da Silvaof Joao Lucas Da Silva, Daniel Dutra da Silva
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,533

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,533 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b5c…126ebacked Joao Lucas Da Silva38c11,438$4,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,133.9180938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Daniel Dutra da Silva59c9,785$5,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,816.382,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva55c2,523$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.682,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4d3…c2f0backed Joao Lucas Da Silva73c2,248$1,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.3133556.7%190 W · 145 L-27.7wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-15.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe8e1…8276backed Daniel Dutra da Silva40c1,030$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.6824350.2%122 W · 121 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva28c705.74$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.463,88435%1,358 W · 2,526 L+92.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Joao Lucas Da Silva63c632.61$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.6152460.9%319 W · 205 L+0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Daniel Dutra da Silva29c499.98$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.9926541.9%111 W · 154 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce3e…623bbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva71c471.83$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.833148.4%15 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-20.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda74…1ab0backed Joao Lucas Da Silva62c401.45$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.4594549.6%469 W · 476 L-23.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Daniel Dutra da Silva28c330.12$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.338,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2057…14eabacked Daniel Dutra da Silva29c299.77$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.16520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid+5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Daniel Dutra da Silva27c275.71$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4493048.8%454 W · 476 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Joao Lucas Da Silva63c265$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.232,13556%1,195 W · 940 L+41.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Joao Lucas Da Silva59c255.42$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4250364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Daniel Dutra da Silva43c231.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10096035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva44c227.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.921,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Joao Lucas Da Silva51c227.15$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.946,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked Daniel Dutra da Silva67c224.52$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15084963.1%536 W · 313 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Daniel Dutra da Silva54c208.21$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.724,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Joao Lucas Da Silva70c191.26$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.021,98046.2%915 W · 1,065 L-1.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva26c188$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2799255.9%555 W · 437 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6249…cee9backed Joao Lucas Da Silva40c186.78$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.9612057.5%69 W · 51 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva23c163$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4920554.6%112 W · 93 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Daniel Dutra da Silva40c161.79$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.451,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0xf479…c8d4backed Joao Lucas Da Silva64c156.46$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.462878.6%22 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Daniel Dutra da Silva28c156$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.681,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Joao Lucas Da Silva44c150$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8472132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Daniel Dutra da Silva36c136$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9690340.2%363 W · 540 L+4.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7c47…1189backed Daniel Dutra da Silva39c130$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.73455.9%19 W · 15 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+26.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Daniel Dutra da Silva30c121.2$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3631753.6%170 W · 147 L+17.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva57c114$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2499044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Daniel Dutra da Silva36c113.66$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8326131.4%82 W · 179 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9db1…d726backed Daniel Dutra da Silva48c109.6$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6111832.2%38 W · 80 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva54c104$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.4443951.9%228 W · 211 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2877967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva50c85.59$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1138147%179 W · 202 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva53c72.13$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.222,77653.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L+69.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva59c71.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6514541.4%60 W · 85 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e25…db26backed Joao Lucas Da Silva64c69.31$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9583661%510 W · 326 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Daniel Dutra da Silva30c68.7$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.611,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd675…30d9backed Joao Lucas Da Silva70c68.46$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.467562.7%47 W · 28 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4739…a1c1backed Joao Lucas Da Silva44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1822642%95 W · 131 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Daniel Dutra da Silva31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2081933.1%271 W · 548 L-30.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Daniel Dutra da Silva29c58.59$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.257,18349.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L+112.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1039…2914backed Joao Lucas Da Silva72c56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6828964.4%186 W · 103 L+0.8wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Daniel Dutra da Silva28c54.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.346,51254.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L+289.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Daniel Dutra da Silva30c50.03$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.974415.9%7 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Daniel Dutra da Silva29c49.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.23966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+51%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3578…f163backed Joao Lucas Da Silva70c48.06$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4239872.4%288 W · 110 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2981…9005backed Joao Lucas Da Silva69c47.87$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc59f…f632backed Joao Lucas Da Silva70c44.52$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.328361.4%51 W · 32 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Daniel Dutra da Silva37c42.44$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.715151.7%78 W · 73 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Daniel Dutra da Silva30c41.97$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5915353.6%82 W · 71 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva50c39.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.057,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf58…711fbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva29c38.89$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3913157.3%75 W · 56 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Daniel Dutra da Silva30c36.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8997644.6%435 W · 541 L-2.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed Daniel Dutra da Silva43c32.73$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0938460.4%232 W · 152 L+29.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Daniel Dutra da Silva57c32.26$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3443058.6%252 W · 178 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8027…cf81backed Daniel Dutra da Silva36c30.13$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7630853.6%165 W · 143 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Joao Lucas Da Silva67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.936349.9%181 W · 182 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Joao Lucas Da Silva57c26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1573745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cff…83c4backed Joao Lucas Da Silva70c26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.827664.1%177 W · 99 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31e5…e2a2backed Joao Lucas Da Silva64c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9519762.9%124 W · 73 L+0.7wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva69c22.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8224563.3%155 W · 90 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9894…65debacked Daniel Dutra da Silva53c20.76$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.067263.9%46 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2849…3d49backed Joao Lucas Da Silva64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.223865.5%156 W · 82 L+31.3wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+20%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.427051.5%139 W · 131 L+18.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva59c16.83$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.832,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf72…18cbbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva75c15.25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69b9…69d0backed Joao Lucas Da Silva72c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.261250%6 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.