Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x303298139eead57afbb2cc4db1d6854c64dcf43890335d04dba5a4ae3880e8de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zverevof Alcaraz, Zverev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0985…ff1ebacked Alcaraz | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Alcaraz | 13c | 8,041$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.43 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Zverev | 54c | 4,687$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,136.86 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Alcaraz | 1c | 3,897$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe71e…8e58backed Zverev | 64c | 3,232$2,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Alcaraz | 40c | 3,183$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.03 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked Alcaraz | 38c | 2,708$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.75 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Zverev | 60c | 2,331$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.51 | 192 | 41.1%79 W · 113 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Alcaraz | 38c | 2,265$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.47 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Alcaraz | 45c | 1,700$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.99 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…3ad0backed Zverev | 49c | 1,648$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.67 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ba…bbb6backed Zverev | 61c | 1,644$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.26 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf38b…b601backed Alcaraz | 42c | 1,305$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.48 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Zverev | 58c | 1,284$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.1 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Alcaraz | 39c | 1,179$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e07…6a8ebacked Zverev | 60c | 1,168$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.88 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Alcaraz | 27c | 1,129$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.91 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed Zverev | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Alcaraz | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…9926backed Alcaraz | 40c | 890.25$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Zverev | 53c | 838.1$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.1 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0fc6backed Zverev | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Alcaraz | 38c | 832$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.63 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Alcaraz | 13c | 750.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Alcaraz | 37c | 700$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 239 | 45.6%109 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Zverev | 58c | 700$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked Alcaraz | 55c | 672.77$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.02 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6298…a8dfbacked Zverev | 60c | 649.25$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Zverev | 43c | 646.13$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.13 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Alcaraz | 39c | 607.66$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d05…6f11backed Zverev | 20c | 600$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Alcaraz | 40c | 599.99$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Alcaraz | 2c | 598.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 306 | 45.1%138 W · 168 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…005fbacked Zverev | 65c | 549.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…8feebacked Zverev | 55c | 524.1$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.75 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Alcaraz | 79c | 508.22$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…a473backed Zverev | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Alcaraz | 37c | 499.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 281 | 41.6%117 W · 164 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Zverev | 61c | 492.06$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.06 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Zverev | 63c | 487.98$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.55 | 219 | 37.9%83 W · 136 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Alcaraz | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Zverev | 79c | 450$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Zverev | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Alcaraz | 12c | 400$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Alcaraz | 41c | 399.99$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Zverev | 54c | 378.6$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.04 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…f43cbacked Alcaraz | 3c | 370.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Zverev | 59c | 362.51$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Alcaraz | 57c | 360$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.8 | 186 | 36%67 W · 119 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb7…dd4bbacked Alcaraz | 12c | 349.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Zverev | 61c | 346.57$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Alcaraz | 20c | 333.47$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.66 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Zverev | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Alcaraz | 65c | 307.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c37…3fd1backed Zverev | 63c | 305.4$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…294dbacked Zverev | 66c | 302.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.32 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Alcaraz | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Alcaraz | 39c | 299.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Alcaraz | 34c | 296.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.61 | 251 | 34.3%86 W · 165 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Alcaraz | 18c | 282.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182f…87d2backed Zverev | 60c | 278.79$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.3 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Alcaraz | 40c | 272.59$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.37 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Zverev | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d2…c66bbacked Alcaraz | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -48%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked Zverev | 36c | 243.33$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.5 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Alcaraz | 49c | 239.75$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.48 | 108 | 15.7%17 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +248.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e1…ab0fbacked Alcaraz | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x002f…6a4ebacked Alcaraz | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…e775backed Zverev | 37c | 193.75$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842e…074cbacked Zverev | 60c | 191.75$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.75 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Zverev | 60c | 191.72$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.77 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Alcaraz | 5c | 183.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Zverev | 22c | 181.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.42 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Alcaraz | 41c | 177.68$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.85 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0417…9248backed Alcaraz | 42c | 165.48$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…3757backed Zverev | 51c | 150.68$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed Zverev | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Zverev | 58c | 146.55$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.55 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Zverev | 44c | 132.39$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.43 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Alcaraz | 40c | 125.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Alcaraz | 41c | 122.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Alcaraz | 40c | 122.87$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Alcaraz | 41c | 118.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 437 | 49%214 W · 223 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0575…66f3backed Alcaraz | 45c | 111.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Alcaraz | 39c | 110.28$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Zverev | 41c | 110.1$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.96 | 119 | 27.7%33 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Alcaraz | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Zverev | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ad…4b7abacked Zverev | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Alcaraz | 61c | 98.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7e1fbacked Zverev | 60c | 95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…4968backed Zverev | 44c | 91.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Zverev | 56c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Zverev | 63c | 89.79$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 370 | 71.9%266 W · 104 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Alcaraz | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…c706backed Zverev | 45c | 84.47$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Alcaraz | 40c | 80.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…f87ebacked Alcaraz | 68c | 73.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Alcaraz | 70c | 72.78$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 176 | 62.5%110 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bf…231fbacked Alcaraz | 41c | 71.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)this page
- Alcaraz vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Alcaraz vs. Zverev: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Alcaraz vs. Zverev: Match O/U 40.5Over won
- Alcaraz vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Alcaraz vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Alcaraz vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- Alcaraz vs. Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Alcaraz vs. Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5Over 4.5 won
- Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander ZverevAlcaraz won
- Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs ZverevAlcaraz won
- Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)Zverev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.