TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Alcaraz vs. Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Over 3.5of Over 3.5, Under 3.5
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,774
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,257

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,774 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6b90…2194backed Under 3.539c7,997$3,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,146.2129146%134 W · 157 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Over 3.562c5,690$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,190.1157249.5%283 W · 289 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe786…b716backed Over 3.560c4,972$2,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,986.449264.1%59 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x812e…ae42backed Under 3.514c3,992$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Over 3.563c3,870$2,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,415.3537444.1%165 W · 209 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under 3.541c2,733$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111.82,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under 3.539c2,500$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97028141.6%117 W · 164 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Over 3.561c2,026$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.0238348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under 3.542c1,863$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.982,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over 3.578c1,465$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.2825957.5%149 W · 110 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under 3.540c1,405$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.477,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under 3.539c1,359$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5306439.1%25 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e4…5bbcbacked Over 3.562c1,200$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Under 3.540c1,050$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42519846%91 W · 107 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9edc…b088backed Under 3.538c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38028424.3%69 W · 215 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Over 3.560c991.8$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.858359.2%345 W · 238 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f90…a473backed Over 3.557c930$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.612755.9%71 W · 56 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ce6…6b12backed Over 3.558c875$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under 3.542c731.03$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.1625134.3%86 W · 165 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over 3.560c713.86$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.44,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0395…c9edbacked Under 3.538c699.95$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.982433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-42.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x42ac…7b70backed Under 3.542c657.14$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2761428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-34.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed Under 3.543c600$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2581346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under 3.539c531$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.497,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x246d…c74dbacked Over 3.559c510.17$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.1718053.9%97 W · 83 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2044…734cbacked Under 3.540c500.25$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Under 3.553c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26512442.7%53 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3b…6ba5backed Under 3.529c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.941145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-27.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9714…3014backed Over 3.555c499.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2252969%20 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Under 3.56c485.19$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.222723.8%54 W · 173 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Under 3.540c432.5$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1735064%32 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under 3.538c419.21$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.994,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Over 3.521c400$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31858021.9%127 W · 453 L+2.5wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc391…6cc8backed Under 3.540c400$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1585149%25 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x176e…8f96backed Under 3.59c398.5$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7817863.5%113 W · 65 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3277…be5fbacked Under 3.541c361.89$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.781241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Over 3.558c349.29$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.714243%61 W · 81 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3be6…05b1backed Over 3.562c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.589955.6%55 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed Under 3.522c308.42$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5911850.8%60 W · 58 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xffd2…d7aebacked Under 3.535c306.77$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.374934.7%17 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1be9…47e1backed Under 3.540c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe6c…4f6fbacked Over 3.561c292.62$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.121080%8 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+48.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Under 3.56c281$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.962,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Under 3.538c270$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.627733.6%93 W · 184 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Under 3.542c265$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.3425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0250…278ebacked Under 3.571c260$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.81060%6 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under 3.540c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005347.2%25 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under 3.541c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042046.9%197 W · 223 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc02b…ab4fbacked Under 3.521c243.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+27.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Under 3.578c242.03$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.6715356.2%86 W · 67 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc036…fba6backed Under 3.542c235.71$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Under 3.543c229.17$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-46.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xebc3…4145backed Under 3.542c211.94$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.22580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+42.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe726…4c87backed Under 3.543c206.74$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under 3.540c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8089850.1%450 W · 448 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb583…3428backed Under 3.563c200$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.95554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under 3.538c182.84$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0834745.2%157 W · 190 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under 3.539c144.64$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.411,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x045c…5861backed Under 3.535c143.45$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015246.7%71 W · 81 L-0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa74d…734cbacked Over 3.557c130$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.928462.3%177 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18dd…6bf2backed Over 3.563c115.3$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.137846.2%36 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8d7…3e75backed Under 3.540c110$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Under 3.534c109.06$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3722641.6%94 W · 132 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfce…5c3ebacked Under 3.544c102.27$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454860.4%29 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Over 3.575c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-9.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0cff…15d1backed Over 3.557c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433141.9%13 W · 18 L-5.8wins-0.19per pick61cpaid-28.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Under 3.541c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4131650%158 W · 158 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x472c…a000backed Under 3.545c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454862.5%30 W · 18 L+6.5wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+21.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1a41…762abacked Over 3.562c83.87$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x481e…b1e4backed Over 3.551c76.67$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-53.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7439…8feebacked Over 3.545c74.35$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.894100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+66.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c57…bf46backed Over 3.562c70.22$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-46.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed Under 3.541c69.36$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.441346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1fc…7750backed Over 3.570c67.42$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Under 3.531c63.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3613641.9%57 W · 79 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1504…9a8dbacked Under 3.540c55$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-39.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b6c…0b29backed Over 3.560c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Over 3.520c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9110541%43 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x435e…a07ebacked Under 3.540c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over 3.559c49.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.536161.8%223 W · 138 L+41.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+25%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfdb4…712cbacked Over 3.560c46.77$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.71540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed Over 3.561c37.04$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.453046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2078…2d66backed Over 3.554c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.041442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea51…83a0backed Over 3.557c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.09475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+129.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd891…7341backed Over 3.561c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7912161.2%74 W · 47 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90c8…dacdbacked Under 3.546c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Over 3.562c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2618447.3%87 W · 97 L-12.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbdc3…c0eabacked Under 3.544c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.213363.9%85 W · 48 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa68d…e03bbacked Under 3.541c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x645b…893cbacked Over 3.554c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.81957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…b9b2backed Over 3.567c29.47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.63475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd18b…1e04backed Over 3.562c26.18$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.951040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4934…cca1backed Over 3.561c25.57$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.978463.1%53 W · 31 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over 3.553c24.53$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.536250%31 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabaa…62a5backed Over 3.562c24.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.191163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9885…28f4backed Under 3.563c22.21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141560%9 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3d3…9b30backed Over 3.562c20.92$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b5…5414backed Under 3.550c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102030%6 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-43.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4eb3…9858backed Over 3.559c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6142…367bbacked Over 3.562c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.64447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.