Premier League · resolved market
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-01-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3e24a226768975c246c386c81b6852589563750b33e03790c7d803846cce72e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,607
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,607 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 6,943$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.32 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 47c | 2,899$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.77 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 19c | 1,497$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.35 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ed…cfe3backed Yes | 51c | 1,350$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Yes | 16c | 999.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 46c | 942.27$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.02 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…8da2backed No | 54c | 835.76$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.45 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 56c | 774.28$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.1 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 78c | 694.33$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.41 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 53c | 662$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.14 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 15c | 661.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 133 | 27.1%36 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…92c3backed No | 80c | 630$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…01eebacked No | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.99 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked No | 54c | 498.15$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 28c | 470.5$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.55 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Yes | 47c | 429.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed No | 54c | 350$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 15c | 299.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Yes | 19c | 273$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…7169backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 19c | 187.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa00…eba1backed Yes | 17c | 182.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 16c | 148.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 24c | 139$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 18c | 135.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea7a…446bbacked Yes | 47c | 110.74$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed No | 54c | 102.42$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd34…dbc3backed Yes | 17c | 100.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa536…83e7backed No | 55c | 87.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.49 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa134…3ba2backed Yes | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 38c | 77.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Yes | 26c | 72.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 78c | 66.65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x789b…4c08backed Yes | 19c | 64.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 48c | 63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 19c | 54.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…1d63backed No | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf43d…1e75backed Yes | 19c | 53.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72f9…629abacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 28c | 46.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 68c | 39.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 182 | 51.6%94 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 64c | 31.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 59c | 31.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | +47.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf76d…29d8backed Yes | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1f…6823backed No | 54c | 22.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-01-10?this page
- Will Fulham FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.