TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-01-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$209,557
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$243,708

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,557 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed No79c15,338$12,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,147.611,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes21c14,279$2,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,280.0310437.5%39 W · 65 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe667…898fbacked No0c12,961$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9650%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes69c9,618$6,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,984.084,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No79c7,330$5,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,782.841,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes12c6,418$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,647.9314067.1%94 W · 46 L+17.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+38.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No80c5,253$4,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,202.46357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No2c4,923$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.519134.1%31 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Yes75c4,427$3,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.753557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Yes21c4,260$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,365.46346%29 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No28c3,782$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.6835442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No55c3,555$1,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,943.1369142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No29c3,031$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.1940033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Yes17c3,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4907719.5%15 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Yes79c2,819$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.913740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed No79c2,500$1,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,984.994564.4%29 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No79c2,455$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,949.532,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes68c2,294$1,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.821,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12c6…0691backed No79c2,000$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,579.983452.9%18 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No79c2,000$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,579.9813845.7%63 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe66b…a324backed Yes12c1,864$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,637.16560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+162.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Yes22c1,820$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.771361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+69.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Yes20c1,794$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,435.363548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No79c1,600$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26414348.3%69 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaa9…c084backed No80c1,570$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,256560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bf4…952ebacked No25c1,482$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.121346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8217…5379backed Yes21c1,452$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.381435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No48c1,396$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.9819662.8%123 W · 73 L+20.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1d8a…e842backed No80c1,359$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes23c1,314$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.995125.5%13 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes19c1,263$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.162035%7 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes11c1,255$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.7614023.6%33 W · 107 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes78c1,107$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.573,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed No19c1,103$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.649331.2%29 W · 64 L-8.1wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-35.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Yes19c1,079$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.144146.3%19 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed No80c1,047$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.59840.8%40 W · 58 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc2b…4564backed No79c1,004$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.14666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aba…a21ebacked Yes20c1,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes20c1,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8005246.2%24 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed No2c984$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.681414.3%2 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick14cpaid-81.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes12c950$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.1549057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x476b…30a0backed Yes21c940$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.63360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+34.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b0c…1a42backed Yes21c900$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7112934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No33c789$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.4215036.7%55 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-43.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes20c749.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.9948934.4%168 W · 321 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7643…fb95backed No79c749.95$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.963040%12 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-18.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcf58…9c69backed Yes11c730$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+809.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed No20c714.93$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.719533.7%32 W · 63 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Yes21c714.29$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.293129%9 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+37.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes19c694.04$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.1725648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x723c…01ebbacked Yes22c644.77$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.921827.8%5 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+40.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba94…c78bbacked No80c630$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick71cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa10…3fc9backed Yes21c625.14$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.861361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+53.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes25c600$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45015940.3%64 W · 95 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x275f…39d9backed No44c574.16$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.48933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No79c549.52$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.1222552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21e6…cbd8backed No80c538.93$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.143148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes46c538.76$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.712553.6%67 W · 58 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No5c515.57$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5960832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked No80c500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003565.7%23 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92f4…8f65backed Yes21c500$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3951100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfece…940bbacked No79c499.99$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5061…1b03backed No5c499.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bdc…b5e9backed Yes18c496.06$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.78520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x447f…4f2abacked No77c491$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.071553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes35c477$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.366235.5%22 W · 40 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes22c454.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.556440.6%26 W · 38 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No80c446.04$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.839956.6%56 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes23c428.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.615119.6%10 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-38.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x998d…7c1ebacked No80c428.16$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes20c421.93$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.5423947.7%114 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e68…3215backed Yes21c395.24$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.24966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+77.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No79c390.21$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.2642851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes16c375$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31510416.3%17 W · 87 L-10.2wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-37.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No80c372$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.623250.4%117 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a26…0498backed Yes23c368.61$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.832161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked No7c357.48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7310039%39 W · 61 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52ca…1d63backed No80c338.53$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.823268.8%22 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed No78c332.99$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.741968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No77c327.17$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.9225872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No18c320$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.926641.4%110 W · 156 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes20c305$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2445844.8%26 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes20c300$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24020642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Yes20c300$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24032145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d4e…6e96backed Yes17c300$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2492236.4%8 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick24cpaid+53.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Yes20c270.82$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.66540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+37%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes24c250$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1906443.8%28 W · 36 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+33.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed No80c250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006553.8%35 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9139…fbc0backed Yes20c250$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+150%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4588…d206backed Yes21c248.05$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.962268.2%15 W · 7 L+5.1wins+0.23per pick45cpaid+63.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes75c243.24$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.815253.8%28 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No79c235.78$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.267851.3%40 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb15…5fefbacked No80c234.14$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.313938.5%15 W · 24 L-8.4wins-0.21per pick60cpaid-43%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed No79c229.39$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.215046%23 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bb3…843bbacked Yes21c228.75$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.192030%6 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a23…f4ffbacked Yes22c227.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.27837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd857…c092backed Yes15c226$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.341533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes14c224$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.435832.8%19 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No80c200$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16042458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed No13c200$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252532%8 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.