MLB · resolved market
White Sox vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x238b2a1b3b43fb048773cd999add1942dfc1f7454065f4a5038e33dd12d7969d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- White Soxof White Sox, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,297
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,297 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe839…5487backed White Sox | 35c | 32,886$11,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,376.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2400…e647backed Reds | 65c | 32,727$21,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,272.55 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa221…77f5backed Reds | 66c | 5,029$3,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,319.24 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked White Sox | 34c | 4,418$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,915.67 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed White Sox | 79c | 3,044$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.82 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Reds | 31c | 2,649$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.44 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Reds | 32c | 2,099$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.04 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6b…b325backed White Sox | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa06b…b36ebacked White Sox | 35c | 1,600$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…4d99backed Reds | 65c | 1,522$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.3 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Reds | 72c | 1,507$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.68 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…39a1backed Reds | 65c | 1,500$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb37c…164ebacked White Sox | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed White Sox | 54c | 1,482$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…33d8backed White Sox | 34c | 1,400$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked White Sox | 58c | 1,370$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.63 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked White Sox | 34c | 1,344$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.72 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf637…d92ebacked Reds | 65c | 1,015$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3106…4a1fbacked White Sox | 34c | 1,000$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.81 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Reds | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8c…ef09backed Reds | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked White Sox | 35c | 994$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.1 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…531ebacked Reds | 65c | 985$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b33…391ebacked Reds | 65c | 810.77$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…097ebacked Reds | 65c | 789$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.85 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed White Sox | 34c | 574.23$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.99 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Reds | 4c | 556.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Reds | 64c | 499.94$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.96 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Reds | 68c | 489.71$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed White Sox | 34c | 440.86$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.84 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked White Sox | 32c | 387.18$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.28 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Reds | 66c | 380.65$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed White Sox | 70c | 377.78$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.78 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Reds | 65c | 347.26$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.72 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed White Sox | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…25b7backed White Sox | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked White Sox | 35c | 257.8$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.57 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed White Sox | 64c | 247.5$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed White Sox | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Reds | 73c | 200$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Reds | 63c | 158.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Reds | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed White Sox | 34c | 147$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.02 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebfe…2a06backed Reds | 65c | 133$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…27ddbacked Reds | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Reds | 25c | 106$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18e…7a5fbacked White Sox | 36c | 103.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +180.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fe…5f6fbacked White Sox | 74c | 101.18$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb341…cbdcbacked White Sox | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7b…447dbacked White Sox | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…cfddbacked Reds | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Reds | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Reds | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Reds | 33c | 92.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…88bfbacked White Sox | 36c | 92.15$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Reds | 51c | 91.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.66 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Reds | 67c | 79$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.73 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…e716backed Reds | 66c | 71.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…97f1backed White Sox | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c73…378fbacked White Sox | 36c | 70.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f36…1f11backed Reds | 66c | 62.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x946b…5857backed Reds | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Reds | 57c | 61.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec0c…077cbacked White Sox | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x798b…391bbacked Reds | 65c | 59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc4…b553backed White Sox | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Reds | 65c | 55.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…53ecbacked White Sox | 71c | 54.2$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e80…db21backed Reds | 66c | 52.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…b3aebacked Reds | 66c | 51.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…501ebacked White Sox | 35c | 51.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a38…2904backed Reds | 65c | 51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7620…b065backed Reds | 66c | 50.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Reds | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0650…a2eebacked Reds | 66c | 49.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd32d…3c32backed Reds | 50c | 47.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed White Sox | 41c | 47.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1efd…5321backed White Sox | 35c | 47.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Reds | 66c | 45.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…9f82backed Reds | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…6498backed Reds | 65c | 44.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed White Sox | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9c…00edbacked White Sox | 36c | 38.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4f…58b1backed Reds | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd2…7f1dbacked Reds | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe555…782fbacked White Sox | 36c | 36.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +58%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe805…4d2abacked White Sox | 35c | 35.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…bb94backed Reds | 65c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed White Sox | 35c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…2f24backed White Sox | 35c | 34.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 56cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa72b…e180backed White Sox | 35c | 34.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Reds | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb989…2f2abacked Reds | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62b5…46a4backed Reds | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Reds | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6067…5aa2backed White Sox | 35c | 29.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3c…9ed9backed Reds | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b95…8affbacked Reds | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce82…9591backed Reds | 66c | 28.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.