NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5529ca6c915117a7141dbf62550ca30fa07254413f0066f64257f09d375d00e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Pistons, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $335,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $350,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $335,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 856 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Pistons | 36c | 17,043$6,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,212.72 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Timberwolves | 70c | 13,902$9,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,221.12 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pistons | 30c | 13,150$3,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,944.93 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Timberwolves | 55c | 12,331$6,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,550.7 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Pistons | 31c | 12,195$3,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,827.11 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Timberwolves | 70c | 11,233$7,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,363.39 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Timberwolves | 45c | 10,496$4,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,789.58 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Pistons | 0c | 8,425$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Timberwolves | 70c | 8,400$5,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Timberwolves | 58c | 7,803$4,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,265.77 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Pistons | 56c | 7,367$4,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,125.61 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb004…51b4backed Pistons | 30c | 7,139$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,135.5 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Pistons | 42c | 5,878$2,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,468.57 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…602cbacked Pistons | 3c | 5,538$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.84 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Timberwolves | 67c | 5,434$3,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802.02 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Pistons | 30c | 5,033$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Pistons | 0c | 5,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Pistons | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.97 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Pistons | 31c | 4,839$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Timberwolves | 54c | 4,416$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,031.31 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Pistons | 27c | 4,338$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pistons | 43c | 4,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pistons | 28c | 3,752$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.14 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Pistons | 43c | 3,688$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.03 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Timberwolves | 70c | 3,552$2,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.93 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Timberwolves | 71c | 3,488$2,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.49 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Timberwolves | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Timberwolves | 70c | 2,982$2,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.73 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Timberwolves | 71c | 2,817$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.9 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Pistons | 28c | 2,420$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.97 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Pistons | 31c | 2,411$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.19 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Pistons | 1c | 2,400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Timberwolves | 71c | 2,378$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.67 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ba…d429backed Timberwolves | 73c | 2,337$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.71 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Timberwolves | 64c | 2,315$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.68 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Timberwolves | 70c | 2,238$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.43 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…ae0fbacked Pistons | 56c | 2,143$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Pistons | 9c | 2,130$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.67 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Timberwolves | 71c | 2,126$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.34 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Timberwolves | 69c | 2,086$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.39 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Timberwolves | 70c | 2,075$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.05 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 2,046$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.02 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Timberwolves | 70c | 1,964$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.25 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 62c | 1,884$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.01 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Pistons | 30c | 1,819$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.02 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Timberwolves | 63c | 1,737$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.35 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…94bcbacked Pistons | 47c | 1,702$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Pistons | 28c | 1,613$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.61 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Pistons | 39c | 1,474$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pistons | 40c | 1,429$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.31 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…6c24backed Pistons | 45c | 1,420$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.51 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Timberwolves | 69c | 1,392$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.94 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Timberwolves | 69c | 1,361$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.9 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…4e55backed Timberwolves | 65c | 1,353$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.13 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +42%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Pistons | 30c | 1,340$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Pistons | 30c | 1,333$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Pistons | 43c | 1,296$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Pistons | 3c | 1,292$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.51 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Timberwolves | 68c | 1,274$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.72 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Pistons | 27c | 1,250$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.5 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8463…a509backed Timberwolves | 71c | 1,216$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Pistons | 30c | 1,200$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2065…48f2backed Pistons | 29c | 1,185$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.58 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Timberwolves | 71c | 1,183$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.28 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Timberwolves | 73c | 1,165$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.55 | 229 | 55.9%128 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Pistons | 25c | 1,151$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.37 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Pistons | 27c | 1,100$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Timberwolves | 72c | 1,042$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.67 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Timberwolves | 68c | 1,035$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.93 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Pistons | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Pistons | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…5ce5backed Pistons | 19c | 1,000$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.1 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6f…ea97backed Timberwolves | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Pistons | 29c | 999$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.71 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Timberwolves | 71c | 961$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.69 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8222…8b4ebacked Timberwolves | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Timberwolves | 67c | 932.5$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.67 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Pistons | 2c | 830.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pistons | 33c | 822.69$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.49 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pistons | 27c | 811.33$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.06 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…51d3backed Pistons | 31c | 806.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71e0…1e8abacked Timberwolves | 67c | 759.65$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.68 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Pistons | 30c | 727.37$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c74…a31fbacked Timberwolves | 68c | 726.53$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Pistons | 35c | 718.35$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Timberwolves | 73c | 677.07$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.15 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Timberwolves | 67c | 650$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Pistons | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…d458backed Timberwolves | 56c | 610.23$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.5 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Pistons | 44c | 607.68$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.38 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Timberwolves | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 585$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Timberwolves | 71c | 559.39$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.51 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 553.61$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.5 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Timberwolves | 54c | 531.89$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.78 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Pistons | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Pistons | 46c | 499.99$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.5 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Pistons | 25c | 480$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Pistons | 15c | 452.72$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.86 | 224 | 30.8%69 W · 155 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf296…9839backed Pistons | 30c | 450$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.