Premier League · resolved market
Will Ipswich vs. Brighton end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc7ed93a1a6550a705facd3a697ba671379e06b455b82ff3e6b1a8b8a4dee621
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 68c | 2,671$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.16 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 27c | 2,130$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.51 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 73c | 1,892$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.58 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 73c | 1,856$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.94 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Yes | 27c | 1,844$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,160$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.6 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 28c | 1,125$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.98 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Yes | 26c | 1,120$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.16 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…57f9backed Yes | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed No | 75c | 556$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 74c | 553.2$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.83 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 26c | 450$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3025…fccdbacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4407…8f2bbacked Yes | 28c | 348.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.46 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6909…36b5backed Yes | 28c | 267.86$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 74c | 221.99$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 73c | 216.11$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad3c…214dbacked Yes | 28c | 215.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 73c | 204.99$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.04 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Yes | 27c | 188.89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…501ebacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5c…7f36backed No | 74c | 185.14$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 22c | 184.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42bd…9228backed Yes | 26c | 171.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 73c | 170.36$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 27c | 163.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…f263backed Yes | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 73c | 147.04$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…f868backed Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 73c | 122.98$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea27…8a0bbacked Yes | 32c | 114.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 73c | 113.98$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 27c | 110$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 70c | 110$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ea…459fbacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…5512backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e62…4d07backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…e725backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…f1c7backed Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e0…56bcbacked No | 74c | 88.89$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0582…bfc5backed No | 74c | 66.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…a18fbacked No | 75c | 61.72$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa64a…21dabacked Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…384ebacked No | 75c | 57.68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…12ddbacked No | 75c | 56.64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…51c7backed No | 74c | 55.22$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aea…abf1backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb54e…8f34backed Yes | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…6c55backed Yes | 28c | 40.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…9908backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe980…75e1backed No | 75c | 39.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 69cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 66c | 37.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb82…4bf9backed Yes | 28c | 36.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 73c | 33.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…a16fbacked No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ipswich vs. Brighton end in a draw?this page
- Will Brighton win on 2025-01-16?Yes won
- Will Ipswich win on 2025-01-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.