TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brighton win on 2025-01-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$76,755
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,096

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,755 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5415…f747backed Yes51c10,011$5,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,905.482100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ca6…2429backed Yes51c10,000$5,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,875560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes49c5,329$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,729.1611548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0fd…a7dabacked No53c4,091$2,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,168.231080%8 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+61.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No51c3,100$1,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,580.9668026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No50c3,068$1,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,525.5540254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50032158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b46…db60backed Yes50c2,614$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,313.751450%7 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ab…b8b4backed Yes50c1,950$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No27c1,898$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.337841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79540046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No45c1,127$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.1590751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No52c1,110$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.231944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1396…b149backed Yes48c1,073$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.852454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No52c999.98$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.9934643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01a9…f42fbacked Yes48c831.39$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.732437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-30.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed No50c802$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-41.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Yes53c800$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6c9…bb9ebacked No52c699.99$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3643360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No51c592.55$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.2816660.8%101 W · 65 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No49c512.67$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.4837652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26044939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.7629653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25083459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed No52c493.14$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.212268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb9c…d01bbacked No51c488.46$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No50c460.82$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.9540640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed Yes47c411$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.833644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71e9…1248backed Yes50c403.96$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.962123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20056158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0cc9…fc51backed Yes69c400$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1243961.5%24 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa81e…1823backed Yes63c374.03$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.39450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No50c328.85$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.8560557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes49c289.36$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.5879639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6909…36b5backed Yes50c255.22$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.611546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No50c254.8$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.359958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes49c250.75$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.9540135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes50c240$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12015636.5%57 W · 99 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No38c225.19$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4279650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb54e…8f34backed Yes50c220$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1103046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes48c201.56$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.8117945.8%82 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70f3…3c23backed Yes50c201.26$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick37cpaid+59.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2f1…f229backed No52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1047949.4%39 W · 40 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No52c199.94$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9742755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ef7…b0debacked Yes49c197.96$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.968752.9%46 W · 41 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf793…e464backed Yes49c187.37$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.56450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb64f…5e21backed Yes49c186.86$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.3450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bfb…aadebacked Yes50c183.96$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.98450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35af…4655backed Yes50c173.2$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.2580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+90.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5eae…f263backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.419037.8%34 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb34…59eabacked Yes52c154$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes51c123.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2418232.4%59 W · 123 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes48c118.75$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7532737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes48c110$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.232736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4b2…fcd6backed Yes48c104.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.734032.5%13 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6528…b006backed Yes48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+72.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9544…f3fbbacked Yes50c100.85$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.852445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b69…e32abacked Yes48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529150.5%46 W · 45 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e3c…6db5backed Yes52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5025339.1%99 W · 154 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed No52c99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.486854.4%37 W · 31 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x07f6…8b37backed No52c98.08$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked No52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504742.6%20 W · 27 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-26.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2b50…6c55backed Yes48c81.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.385630.4%17 W · 39 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Yes49c79.24$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.413534.3%12 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67b8…2449backed Yes52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.926556.9%37 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4026247.7%125 W · 137 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yes48c72.92$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9214441%59 W · 85 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc95…b4aebacked Yes50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69da…7d7bbacked No50c62.05$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x716a…f6cfbacked No49c61.23$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305242.3%22 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6929146%134 W · 157 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe227…55d8backed No52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307256.9%41 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Yes77c57.13$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.145959.3%35 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ce5…22c5backed Yes50c56.91$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7822…f8b8backed No50c50.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x352d…ef4bbacked Yes52c50.48$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.43475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+64.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed Yes49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.516060%96 W · 64 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9659…a4acbacked No54c49.78$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44b9…2bdcbacked Yes51c49.7$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f9…004dbacked Yes51c48.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.576051.7%31 W · 29 L+7.1wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+27.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0f8c…505fbacked No53c48.24$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6550%0 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x649f…726abacked No50c47.78$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c23…619bbacked Yes50c47.78$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.89450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xffbf…4d80backed Yes50c45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+116.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7c3…dcaebacked Yes58c44.03$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.49966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+45%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ac…6b99backed Yes51c43.74$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabe3…ed3bbacked No49c43.74$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.43250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5959…074cbacked No50c43.16$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1fc…156ebacked Yes48c43.12$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.42425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3987…eb14backed Yes49c42.85$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.68633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb0…f67bbacked No50c42.73$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Yes48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.675635.7%20 W · 36 L-9.0wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-30.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Yes48c41.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6310154.5%55 W · 46 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xee34…0d7fbacked No50c41.25$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22a6…38c0backed Yes51c41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.092835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ccd…f863backed Yes50c40.8$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+65.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x034b…8bc0backed No52c40.14$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.872937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xca8f…2858backed Yes47c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.24341.9%18 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45ff…9e05backed Yes51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.