Premier League · resolved market
Will Ipswich win on 2025-01-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfeb083595d3ce369f8ea8310ab8029b2fc85840f39d95e84a27455b2d3cf0c5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,285
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,450
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,285 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 25c | 4,422$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.57 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 75c | 2,524$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.45 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 73c | 2,115$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.48 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 24c | 1,943$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.33 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb76…77d9backed Yes | 27c | 1,602$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7e…cb66backed No | 76c | 1,602$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 75c | 1,466$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.54 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 74c | 1,160$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.2 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.98 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked No | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f30…1379backed Yes | 28c | 786$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 72c | 776$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.28 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…00a0backed Yes | 26c | 765.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 74c | 699.99$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 74c | 658.46$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.2 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…e725backed Yes | 18c | 600$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c75…6e78backed No | 77c | 421.62$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +90%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…f4f2backed No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf713…a97bbacked Yes | 25c | 319.96$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 14c | 246.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecb…070fbacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8529…b973backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…3cdbbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96e3…83d2backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed No | 74c | 198$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.47 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f3…3c23backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa64a…21dabacked Yes | 23c | 181.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.23 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x386b…b750backed Yes | 26c | 165.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 74c | 162$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e48…38babacked No | 75c | 143.79$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 74c | 130$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa496…2383backed Yes | 24c | 124.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc069…80ebbacked Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…b31ebacked Yes | 26c | 115.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8175…e4b8backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…db37backed Yes | 26c | 97.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d8…f9c5backed No | 76c | 96.89$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 74c | 89.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x177c…bf64backed No | 74c | 85$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc391…8f41backed Yes | 25c | 79.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 26c | 76.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 25c | 74.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 74c | 71.85$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc372…00aabacked No | 76c | 71.05$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef7…b0debacked Yes | 26c | 69.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a70…0c53backed Yes | 26c | 69.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 74c | 68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes | 24c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbc…e92cbacked No | 75c | 38.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…a7dabacked No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf305…2ac3backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6792…21b4backed No | 76c | 26.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc0…5cdbbacked No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed No | 77c | 23.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f8…8e4dbacked No | 76c | 19.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef70…b525backed No | 75c | 17.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc9…6710backed No | 75c | 15.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0797…c664backed No | 75c | 15.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ipswich win on 2025-01-16?this page
- Will Brighton win on 2025-01-16?Yes won
- Will Ipswich vs. Brighton end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.