MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x768f84b52cb98d52c312c6836ba3e49cfffb9fd142b5e07ca130aadc178cd7f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Padres, Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac71…0b9abacked Brewers | 60c | 9,998$5,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,998.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91c8…6675backed Padres | 40c | 9,997$3,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,998.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +141.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Brewers | 31c | 7,269$2,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,260.4 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Brewers | 62c | 5,468$3,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,390 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brewers | 60c | 5,034$3,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,029.29 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Padres | 38c | 3,976$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,469.6 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Brewers | 28c | 3,926$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.06 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…c481backed Padres | 68c | 3,849$2,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.74 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 60cpaid | -38%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Padres | 51c | 3,086$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.39 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…aeb9backed Brewers | 3c | 2,000$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Padres | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Padres | 39c | 1,527$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.07 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Brewers | 12c | 1,338$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.75 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae3f…12fabacked Brewers | 29c | 1,312$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.77 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -15.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Brewers | 50c | 1,099$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Padres | 53c | 1,051$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.63 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Brewers | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Padres | 41c | 999.93$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.96 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Brewers | 58c | 999.87$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.93 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Brewers | 65c | 992.39$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.49 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Brewers | 11c | 884.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.86 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Brewers | 59c | 849.98$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.49 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Brewers | 7c | 800$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Brewers | 32c | 744.53$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.12 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Brewers | 24c | 734.83$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.82 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…741dbacked Brewers | 62c | 725$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.5 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Padres | 38c | 666$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.92 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Padres | 40c | 600$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Padres | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.24 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Brewers | 61c | 593.56$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.07 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…27c9backed Padres | 38c | 575.74$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.06 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…9ad0backed Padres | 41c | 537.78$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.78 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Padres | 60c | 530.28$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.35 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Padres | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Padres | 36c | 505.64$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.61 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Padres | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Brewers | 47c | 451.39$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.85 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Brewers | 14c | 375.24$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.43 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Brewers | 29c | 372.88$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.41 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Brewers | 29c | 346.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Brewers | 59c | 344.03$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.98 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Padres | 65c | 338.88$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.88 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Padres | 38c | 303.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.47 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…92d8backed Padres | 45c | 299.13$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.52 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Padres | 38c | 265.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.79 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb130…6ee2backed Brewers | 55c | 252.75$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Padres | 59c | 249.24$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.12 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Padres | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Brewers | 61c | 235.31$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.54 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Brewers | 59c | 235$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.65 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Padres | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Padres | 41c | 221.22$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.52 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Brewers | 54c | 200.66$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.46 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Brewers | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Padres | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Brewers | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed Padres | 40c | 200$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.33 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Padres | 45c | 196.28$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.28 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Brewers | 25c | 182.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Brewers | 23c | 177.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Brewers | 61c | 170$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.7 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 41c | 168.4$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.29 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Brewers | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Brewers | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…d29ebacked Brewers | 15c | 140$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Brewers | 65c | 133.58$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.83 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Brewers | 29c | 121.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…0d0dbacked Padres | 39c | 120.46$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.48 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Brewers | 59c | 115.32$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.47 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Brewers | 61c | 104.53$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.76 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Brewers | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Padres | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Brewers | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Brewers | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Padres | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Brewers | 60c | 99.49$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f9…4b0cbacked Padres | 41c | 86$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22de…a082backed Brewers | 59c | 86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Padres | 43c | 83.68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Brewers | 61c | 80$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Padres | 42c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…d6e6backed Padres | 37c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3897…944bbacked Padres | 76c | 78.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f0…35d3backed Brewers | 59c | 76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd540…4df2backed Padres | 41c | 76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb97…add3backed Padres | 43c | 68.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.09 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…b038backed Padres | 42c | 64.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d03…4366backed Brewers | 63c | 64.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Brewers | 62c | 64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2c…b96cbacked Brewers | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Padres | 37c | 63.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Padres | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Padres | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Padres | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Brewers | 63c | 51.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a8…59e3backed Padres | 39c | 50.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd3…06a8backed Brewers | 62c | 50.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Padres | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…501ebacked Padres | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Padres | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.