NHL · resolved market
Blackhawks vs. Avalanche
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6363f77324b7f9d75e434ddea6b240accc4cfa2cbc8cd7f216d1380c297b0c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Blackhawks, Avalanche
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e12…b366backed Blackhawks | 19c | 10,026$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9570…398dbacked Blackhawks | 19c | 10,022$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Blackhawks | 30c | 2,933$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.04 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Blackhawks | 17c | 2,708$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.44 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Blackhawks | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Blackhawks | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Blackhawks | 19c | 1,897$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.4 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Avalanche | 70c | 1,885$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.36 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Avalanche | 73c | 1,358$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.42 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Blackhawks | 17c | 1,302$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.41 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Blackhawks | 19c | 964.79$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.74 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7322…bb35backed Blackhawks | 18c | 754.91$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x542b…4b76backed Blackhawks | 16c | 590$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…85f4backed Blackhawks | 15c | 550.05$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Blackhawks | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Blackhawks | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5980…a3e6backed Blackhawks | 18c | 496.5$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.37 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Blackhawks | 27c | 428.28$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.98 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…6fd0backed Blackhawks | 19c | 422$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.18 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Blackhawks | 18c | 360$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf862…e2babacked Blackhawks | 19c | 327.71$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0227…750bbacked Blackhawks | 19c | 318.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.44 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…eaa7backed Avalanche | 77c | 300$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blackhawks | 22c | 279.78$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.82 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Avalanche | 73c | 267.48$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.37 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…80bbbacked Blackhawks | 19c | 224.79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91cf…5e23backed Blackhawks | 24c | 215.48$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Blackhawks | 18c | 215.18$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Blackhawks | 18c | 211.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Blackhawks | 6c | 173$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…e5a9backed Blackhawks | 19c | 157.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…eb3fbacked Avalanche | 78c | 149.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9bf…1c05backed Blackhawks | 18c | 144$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Blackhawks | 18c | 135.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Blackhawks | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…9ed4backed Blackhawks | 19c | 127.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7054…6d9bbacked Blackhawks | 18c | 122.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Blackhawks | 18c | 122.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 653 | 45%294 W · 359 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0735…da59backed Blackhawks | 19c | 116.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…5927backed Blackhawks | 19c | 114.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Blackhawks | 27c | 111.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0755…b1fdbacked Blackhawks | 18c | 102$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…501ebacked Blackhawks | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd914…a7e3backed Blackhawks | 19c | 85.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf065…20abbacked Blackhawks | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf061…2572backed Blackhawks | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Blackhawks | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 340 | 32.4%110 W · 230 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de4…548fbacked Blackhawks | 20c | 73.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…62d4backed Blackhawks | 19c | 72.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…04f5backed Blackhawks | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…9906backed Blackhawks | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce19…08a6backed Blackhawks | 19c | 69.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9730…4504backed Avalanche | 78c | 69.38$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -5.1wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…4e59backed Blackhawks | 18c | 68.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3091…a2a9backed Avalanche | 80c | 65.81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdba…dd54backed Blackhawks | 18c | 63.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…5bf1backed Blackhawks | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Blackhawks | 19c | 56.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 284 | 40.1%114 W · 170 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…ac6dbacked Blackhawks | 19c | 55.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193e…5f99backed Blackhawks | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…b2a6backed Blackhawks | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.3wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Blackhawks | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Avalanche | 73c | 49.15$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdba…aa96backed Avalanche | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf93e…af9cbacked Avalanche | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd517…13c6backed Avalanche | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.