NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18e39b26fe1929377dc6ebcaf6fcf61054a96b953afa65c97a94d73523dfd93f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Bulls, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $380,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $327,272
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $380,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcc7f…6a21backed Bulls | 11c | 125,000$13,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,750 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Bulls | 0c | 36,555$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.17 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…dea4backed Bulls | 11c | 29,845$3,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,283 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls | 11c | 25,050$2,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,855.47 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Bulls | 10c | 16,924$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.43 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Bulls | 10c | 15,767$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.67 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed Bulls | 11c | 14,287$1,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.54 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Bulls | 11c | 11,580$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.14 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Bulls | 0c | 10,100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 388 | 45.9%178 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Bulls | 11c | 10,062$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.09 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x390c…a629backed Bulls | 0c | 8,114$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Bulls | 10c | 6,599$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.56 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Bulls | 0c | 5,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Bulls | 13c | 2,779$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Bulls | 1c | 2,450$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Bulls | 11c | 2,289$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.88 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Bulls | 10c | 2,064$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Bulls | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Bulls | 5c | 1,346$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.33 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Bulls | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Bulls | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Bulls | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Bulls | 12c | 1,000$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Bulls | 12c | 951.33$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.16 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Bulls | 6c | 903$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Bulls | 4c | 805.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…43d8backed Bulls | 12c | 777.15$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d93…8dfabacked Bulls | 12c | 666.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Bulls | 12c | 641.39$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.72 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Bulls | 11c | 600.92$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.1 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…a688backed Bulls | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +11.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Bulls | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca34…8cb1backed Bulls | 12c | 411.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Bulls | 11c | 374.16$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Bulls | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Bulls | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3d…541dbacked Bulls | 12c | 291.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeded…e8e4backed Bulls | 12c | 275$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Bulls | 12c | 275$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…52babacked Bulls | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…5173backed Bulls | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4dd3backed Bulls | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Bulls | 11c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 129 | 30.2%39 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ee…bf85backed Bulls | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 200 | 31%62 W · 138 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Bulls | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Bulls | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x225f…e3a4backed Bulls | 11c | 163.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x794c…628ebacked Bulls | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68b0…c482backed Bulls | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…c816backed Bulls | 12c | 141.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Bulls | 8c | 137$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Bulls | 11c | 129.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 718 | 23.3%167 W · 551 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…2df8backed Bulls | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e7…55a3backed Bulls | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc39d…d87fbacked Bulls | 12c | 121.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aad…2cbbbacked Bulls | 12c | 110.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Bulls | 11c | 108.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee1f…9cedbacked Bulls | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 122 | 29.5%36 W · 86 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8c…9309backed Bulls | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d2…6ce0backed Bulls | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95a6…8080backed Bulls | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c02…b4d4backed Bulls | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 336 | 39%131 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fd…fdfebacked Bulls | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…501ebacked Bulls | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Bulls | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29cd…15c4backed Bulls | 12c | 97.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.