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MLB · resolved market

Phillies vs. White Sox

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
White Soxof Phillies, White Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$795,046
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$796,652

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $795,046 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ee1…dae8backed White Sox34c675,751$229,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446,253.896456.3%36 W · 28 L+6.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+27.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x61bf…647ebacked Phillies66c264,113$174,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174,314.856642.4%28 W · 38 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Phillies66c166,000$109,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109,56022852.2%119 W · 109 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Phillies66c75,000$49,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,50048254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Phillies66c73,370$48,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,424.3686751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36da…e646backed Phillies66c38,650$25,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,51223545.1%106 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked White Sox32c23,583$7,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,014.731,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Phillies67c20,000$13,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,480.1826355.5%146 W · 117 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Phillies66c20,000$13,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,20024553.5%131 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked White Sox32c20,000$6,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,599.9854451.1%278 W · 266 L+23.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Phillies68c18,679$12,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,701.8720850%104 W · 104 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed White Sox34c15,575$5,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,279.360249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Phillies60c12,840$7,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,767.8338444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Phillies65c12,070$7,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,865.432,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Phillies66c11,500$7,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5901,15749.2%569 W · 588 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Phillies68c7,466$5,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,075.021,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies66c5,051$3,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,345.522,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd503…ef93backed White Sox33c5,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,350862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+43.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c95…0a3abacked White Sox34c3,111$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,053.2611555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Phillies68c3,100$2,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10843654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Phillies66c3,000$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,98049750.1%249 W · 248 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6966…7a8dbacked Phillies66c3,000$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9804045%18 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe85e…2aebbacked Phillies66c2,828$1,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,866.286749.3%33 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x450f…d078backed Phillies67c2,500$1,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6751163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62e2…7b24backed Phillies67c2,451$1,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,642.412147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbff1…3f4fbacked Phillies49c2,200$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0705834.5%20 W · 38 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-31.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x532f…83ccbacked Phillies66c2,033$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,341.777548%36 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked White Sox34c2,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3205352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed White Sox32c2,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.9971751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…fa1dbacked Phillies65c1,530$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006154.1%33 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Phillies66c1,515$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.961,05648.3%510 W · 546 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Phillies27c1,500$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40541643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies67c1,500$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00592754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed White Sox33c1,479$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.0893240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f64…9aa0backed Phillies66c1,339$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.74520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-69.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6ce…3ea3backed Phillies66c1,303$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.98757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86ae…a071backed White Sox34c1,200$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde58…e2b5backed White Sox34c1,200$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+36.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Phillies68c1,075$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.481,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0f3…f4fabacked Phillies66c1,061$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.26714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick51cpaid-70.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed White Sox28c1,022$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.119635.4%34 W · 62 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed White Sox79c988.34$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.838360.2%50 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbccd…6aeebacked Phillies68c941.18$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6404045%18 W · 22 L-4.8wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-23.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Phillies17c812$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.4427733.6%93 W · 184 L+13.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed White Sox33c800$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53650843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed White Sox32c756.99$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.7644443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a6b…47e9backed White Sox33c750$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2eb…9b76backed White Sox33c750$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.51040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked White Sox33c706.9$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.6224547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf674…7fcabacked Phillies66c698.48$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-45.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2719…28ddbacked Phillies67c658$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.9125364.4%163 W · 90 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81ad…7cfabacked White Sox34c600$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81a0…dd29backed White Sox34c600$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3961136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9823…02dbbacked Phillies67c579$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.1214565.5%95 W · 50 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed White Sox37c578.76$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.7433845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Phillies62c542.12$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.379,86246.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L+40.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed White Sox33c529.75$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.941,29347.3%611 W · 682 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed White Sox33c507.4$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.431,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea6f…dd06backed White Sox80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+67.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5103…88b9backed Phillies66c500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3301050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9139…fbc0backed White Sox33c500$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf189…4c6bbacked White Sox33c499.98$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.99875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+65.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed White Sox32c499.97$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.9865949.2%324 W · 335 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed White Sox32c499.93$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.9551151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Phillies76c493$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.411560%69 W · 46 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdad…450bbacked Phillies63c400$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-43.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Phillies66c400$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26433852.1%176 W · 162 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Phillies67c397.8$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26834051.2%174 W · 166 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed White Sox34c382.35$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.351,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Phillies61c321$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.71,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed White Sox73c314.84$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.6497950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked Phillies65c307$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.1332754.7%179 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked White Sox34c299.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1982,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Phillies66c295$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.740548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed White Sox34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.1256351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Phillies68c294.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Phillies69c289.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27d1…a3e4backed Phillies35c284.63$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.621526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked White Sox33c270$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.91,05750.4%533 W · 524 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe259…b890backed Phillies64c264.31$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.3916162.1%100 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5b9…a9c4backed Phillies68c254.35$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick69cpaid-50.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Phillies65c249.96$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.471,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Phillies67c237.07$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.8443247.2%204 W · 228 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed Phillies59c235.04$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.660052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79f7…8109backed White Sox34c222$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.522045%9 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Phillies40c207.39$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.854,19750.2%2,106 W · 2,091 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74c4…4493backed Phillies62c206.15$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.4417850%89 W · 89 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd347…5205backed White Sox17c205$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.42842.9%12 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9587…cd8ebacked White Sox34c177.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8531244.2%138 W · 174 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Phillies23c171$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.954754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Phillies68c165$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.251953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf95e…7da4backed White Sox34c164.35$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.472240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Phillies67c151$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.172,05853.8%1,107 W · 951 L+33.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab95…c8cfbacked Phillies67c150$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.52951.7%15 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf285…8d3cbacked White Sox73c150$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.51258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Phillies66c148$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0331547.3%149 W · 166 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb5…da2cbacked Phillies68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012355.3%68 W · 55 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Phillies68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa82…4864backed Phillies67c141.79$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+36.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x534e…ecfebacked Phillies64c136$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5327458.8%161 W · 113 L+1.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.