TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Tigers vs. Phillies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Philliesof Tigers, Phillies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,539,477
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,553,092

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,539,477 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x461f…7a07backed Tigers39c1,056,454$411,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411,022.6412043.3%52 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Phillies62c269,000$166,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102,22044456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Phillies61c217,850$132,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84,970.7122852.2%119 W · 109 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Phillies61c176,724$107,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68,761.1386751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Phillies61c125,167$76,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,827.741,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Phillies61c118,500$72,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,21548254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ef4…412cbacked Tigers39c76,923$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,0008540%34 W · 51 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fdb…7ea3backed Phillies61c76,919$46,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,998.41666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Phillies61c47,620$29,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,571.7935952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Tigers38c35,555$13,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,510.8960249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Phillies61c25,641$15,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,999.9917156.1%96 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Tigers40c25,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00028646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Phillies60c20,000$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,00053150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36da…e646backed Phillies61c18,936$11,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,385.0423545.1%106 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Phillies63c15,933$10,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,867.1750852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Phillies61c15,124$9,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,898.4126355.5%146 W · 117 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Tigers38c13,739$5,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,220.721,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Tigers20c12,810$2,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,613.8541643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Phillies62c12,280$7,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,666.425453.5%136 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Phillies61c10,500$6,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0951,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Phillies68c10,433$7,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,308.542142.9%9 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-29.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Phillies76c10,258$7,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,498.0713151.9%68 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x670d…0825backed Phillies62c10,160$6,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,860.8944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Phillies62c10,000$6,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,80055053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Tigers24c7,928$1,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,922.5338444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Phillies63c7,336$4,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,717.2180955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies61c6,450$3,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,514.732,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Tigers32c6,157$1,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,956.233845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe84…779ebacked Tigers38c5,111$1,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,942.185947.5%28 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Tigers20c4,892$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.6254345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Phillies77c4,836$3,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.2641747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c59…b1cebacked Phillies63c4,292$2,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,588.04757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18ca…9bf2backed Phillies62c3,456$2,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,313.285851.7%30 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c3c…5c56backed Phillies62c3,452$2,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,311.612934.5%10 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xacad…bceabacked Phillies62c3,451$2,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,311.371947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Phillies62c3,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14098149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Phillies61c3,000$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1709843.9%43 W · 55 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Phillies62c2,600$1,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98843654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67fd…2b74backed Phillies59c2,500$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.9916651.8%86 W · 80 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5532…c6dbbacked Phillies61c2,444$1,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.3119449%95 W · 99 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2eef…f9d9backed Tigers38c2,418$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.66757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1957…7656backed Tigers22c1,932$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201010%1 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick28cpaid-85.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa320…8232backed Phillies64c1,817$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.5128447.5%135 W · 149 L-20.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies63c1,600$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59992754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Phillies77c1,541$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.321,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa922…aa8cbacked Tigers38c1,536$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed Phillies61c1,522$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.411947.9%57 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Tigers39c1,438$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.8370946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Phillies62c1,384$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.0443247.2%204 W · 228 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Tigers38c1,371$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.041,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Phillies63c1,278$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.1766645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Tigers24c1,232$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Tigers19c1,185$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.1516947.3%80 W · 89 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Tigers36c1,122$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.495930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fb2…01b4backed Phillies63c1,117$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.465856.9%33 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3217…7d40backed Tigers39c1,113$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.21136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked Tigers37c1,103$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.1124547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Tigers37c1,100$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40750843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fdd…742dbacked Tigers40c1,075$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.36845.6%31 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Tigers25c1,004$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25111036.4%40 W · 70 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Phillies61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.0195850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked Phillies62c988.71$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.716953.6%37 W · 32 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Tigers22c901.07$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.871,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Phillies62c838.71$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.717556%42 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked Phillies62c748.39$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.3914453.5%77 W · 67 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Tigers25c733$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.256,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4be9…97ecbacked Phillies61c713.09$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.115667.9%38 W · 18 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Tigers39c700$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2731,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9587…cd8ebacked Tigers38c666.94$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25431244.2%138 W · 174 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51a1…1467backed Tigers26c607.75$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.47328.8%21 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Tigers36c600$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21638249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Tigers36c550.49$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20034550.7%175 W · 170 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41e…d27dbacked Tigers37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022546.2%104 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked Phillies79c537.84$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.1232754.7%179 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Tigers36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18030850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Tigers38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1903,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd428…6368backed Phillies61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19539056.9%222 W · 168 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Tigers40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20042452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9a3…db6ebacked Tigers25c499.67$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40ab…fbb5backed Tigers36c489.72$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.7116654.8%91 W · 75 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Tigers30c485.45$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.796133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Phillies62c483.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.878052.5%42 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4e3…3464backed Phillies63c476.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.194847.9%23 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Tigers31c470.99$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.699,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Tigers16c411.71$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.917754.8%97 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Tigers20c405.15$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.032242.7%6 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Tigers36c369.44$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13344443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Tigers36c350$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1261,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Tigers36c349.98$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.9951347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Tigers31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039160.4%236 W · 155 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Tigers37c320$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.41,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bf7…cdb7backed Tigers34c303$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.5345749.7%227 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Tigers36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1082,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Tigers35c294.84$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.2580680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x9263…1999backed Tigers6c287.43$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.927416.2%12 W · 62 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick7cpaid+74.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a7d…0a62backed Phillies62c282.11$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.25764.9%37 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Phillies65c281.54$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.548940.4%36 W · 53 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7320…79e6backed Phillies76c278.7$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.913354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4ff…86f3backed Tigers38c275$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.51145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Phillies72c274.87$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.2231547.3%149 W · 166 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.