MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d292aafd2e59c2b827345ecc585504386366715d75900b76032bc41ccc60554
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Cubs, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $321,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $308,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $321,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Cubs | 59c | 145,912$86,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,823.87 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…d372backed Nationals | 40c | 80,028$32,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,024.51 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Cubs | 59c | 20,074$11,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,271.91 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Nationals | 41c | 20,000$8,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,200 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Nationals | 41c | 17,307$7,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,095.87 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Nationals | 41c | 16,932$6,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,942.16 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Nationals | 41c | 14,057$5,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,763.42 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Cubs | 66c | 13,861$9,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,720.1 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Nationals | 41c | 9,824$4,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,027.96 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nationals | 10c | 8,999$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.82 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 18c | 8,485$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.21 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nationals | 27c | 7,322$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.88 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Nationals | 41c | 6,373$2,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.42 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Nationals | 41c | 6,284$2,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,576.44 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Nationals | 29c | 5,999$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.6 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Cubs | 59c | 5,932$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,432.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Nationals | 41c | 5,580$2,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,290.06 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Cubs | 58c | 4,730$2,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.22 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cubs | 63c | 3,850$2,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.92 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Nationals | 3c | 2,507$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…c2a5backed Nationals | 43c | 2,116$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Cubs | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…74b8backed Cubs | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.99 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c40…5f2cbacked Nationals | 42c | 1,982$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.44 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Nationals | 42c | 1,890$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.46 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Nationals | 30c | 1,602$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.66 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Nationals | 41c | 1,600$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Nationals | 1c | 1,535$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Nationals | 41c | 1,287$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.4 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Nationals | 41c | 1,266$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.1 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed Nationals | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe19b…b767backed Cubs | 57c | 1,105$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Nationals | 2c | 1,078$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Cubs | 56c | 1,065$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.41 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf52…7660backed Cubs | 57c | 1,011$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.73 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nationals | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Nationals | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Nationals | 41c | 991.8$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.64 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Nationals | 21c | 955.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Cubs | 59c | 850.07$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.66 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94ce…8160backed Cubs | 60c | 800$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Nationals | 30c | 800$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Nationals | 41c | 797.79$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.34 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Nationals | 42c | 785.91$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.08 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Nationals | 28c | 698.43$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.56 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Nationals | 41c | 658$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.78 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cubs | 57c | 614.05$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.72 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Nationals | 10c | 556$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.04 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Nationals | 41c | 535.84$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.69 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Cubs | 79c | 525.16$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.46 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Nationals | 17c | 523.53$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Nationals | 5c | 517$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Nationals | 41c | 509$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.18 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cubs | 57c | 501.22$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.53 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Nationals | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cubs | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…9ad0backed Nationals | 42c | 499.95$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.98 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Nationals | 43c | 467.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Cubs | 56c | 443.41$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.66 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Nationals | 12c | 419.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Nationals | 18c | 411$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.76 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Nationals | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37aa…00febacked Nationals | 3c | 399.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Nationals | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Nationals | 28c | 337.47$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Cubs | 60c | 329.28$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.71 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Nationals | 26c | 248.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.42 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Cubs | 74c | 247.66$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.88 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Nationals | 24c | 247.15$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 356 | 52.5%187 W · 169 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nationals | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nationals | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked Nationals | 41c | 193.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.09 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…1655backed Nationals | 38c | 193.25$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.57 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Nationals | 43c | 169.2$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.93 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b89…23fbbacked Nationals | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -9.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Cubs | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nationals | 41c | 133.64$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.79 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd377…a0a5backed Nationals | 26c | 122.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ed…c5a4backed Nationals | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Cubs | 57c | 118$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…e4bcbacked Nationals | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeadf…e8c6backed Nationals | 43c | 116.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ff…f1a2backed Nationals | 42c | 113$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…a982backed Cubs | 58c | 113$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…e609backed Nationals | 42c | 109$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cae…c0c1backed Cubs | 58c | 109$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac8c…f7a6backed Nationals | 42c | 109$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef39…2d9abacked Cubs | 58c | 109$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Cubs | 59c | 108.47$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.47 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Nationals | 42c | 107.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Cubs | 58c | 104$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9115…e4c2backed Nationals | 42c | 101$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad76…2ec9backed Cubs | 58c | 101$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2dd…667abacked Cubs | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6961…66a7backed Nationals | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Nationals | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c48…a3bcbacked Cubs | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Cubs | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b75…135bbacked Nationals | 42c | 99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed33…1819backed Cubs | 58c | 99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.