Cricket · resolved market
ICC WWC: South Africa vs. Pakistan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb8fb0442af6c823ab8264cbe153ef854b096f84b19ee44b1cc7ca921b33454d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Africaof South Africa, Pakistan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Pakistan | 19c | 3,499$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.36 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0b87backed South Africa | 78c | 3,398$2,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.23 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked Pakistan | 19c | 2,306$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.51 | 261 | 30.7%80 W · 181 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Pakistan | 35c | 1,192$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.95 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed Pakistan | 42c | 1,117$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.92 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Pakistan | 11c | 868.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.1 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed South Africa | 70c | 480$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…b283backed South Africa | 62c | 365.21$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc3…e92ebacked South Africa | 77c | 327.03$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.62 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +273%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Pakistan | 44c | 226.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 139 | 21.6%30 W · 109 L | -14.6wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed South Africa | 63c | 205.75$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.28 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6acd…07babacked Pakistan | 9c | 154.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed South Africa | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 159 | 40.9%65 W · 94 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Pakistan | 9c | 144.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…c9b3backed Pakistan | 22c | 138.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 222 | 41.9%93 W · 129 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58fa…54e7backed South Africa | 75c | 132.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…a042backed South Africa | 79c | 102.61$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb11f…ec34backed South Africa | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Pakistan | 18c | 78.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3630…22c9backed Pakistan | 29c | 56.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…aeb5backed South Africa | 72c | 55.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed South Africa | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed South Africa | 61c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 154 | 29.9%46 W · 108 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…0a6dbacked South Africa | 72c | 27.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71a8…22f0backed South Africa | 68c | 26.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed South Africa | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.