La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Oviedo vs. Espanyol end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9281041881d0db0d321d07cad93ae1f93eb048edb9e7d72acba00e622388a29b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,022
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,022 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Yes | 32c | 25,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 68c | 10,934$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,533.46 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 68c | 7,000$4,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 68c | 6,158$4,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970.45 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 31c | 4,840$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.29 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 2,453$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.36 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 68c | 1,621$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.58 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 22c | 1,040$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.52 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…6865backed No | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 68c | 657.31$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.34 | 90 | 28.9%26 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Yes | 32c | 632.31$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.34 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 33c | 600$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.16 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 2c | 510.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 67c | 443.96$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.51 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 33c | 303.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 6c | 300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 129 | 17.8%23 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 29c | 275.73$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.75 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 69c | 224$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.44 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2b…3e5bbacked No | 70c | 188.29$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.49 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 18c | 160$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 28c | 134.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes | 32c | 130.06$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x711e…da8bbacked Yes | 51c | 119.82$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc72b…3756backed No | 54c | 114$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8081…ae28backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 21c | 95.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 68c | 84.19$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 69c | 84$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed No | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb63d…9c83backed Yes | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 41c | 76.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 74.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Yes | 43c | 66.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6073…d82fbacked Yes | 33c | 63.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8156…507cbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…aeb5backed Yes | 55c | 54.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 57c | 53.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb98a…0550backed Yes | 31c | 51.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 69c | 48.55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed9…bbd3backed No | 69c | 42.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…1bdfbacked Yes | 30c | 39.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e6…e3c9backed Yes | 42c | 37.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 33c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…d0dfbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa43…22f3backed Yes | 58c | 29.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…0b63backed No | 70c | 28.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 43c | 25.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ca…aa0cbacked No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf270…6015backed No | 50c | 20.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…cc93backed No | 69c | 18.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 67c | 15.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Oviedo vs. Espanyol end in a draw?this page
- Will Espanyol win on 2025-10-17?Yes won
- Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-10-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.