La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-10-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2eb039a35d4dd85a5efa2835bf698f587c6ddf326845221e7449954dc91769a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd16a…7691backed Yes | 35c | 86,045$29,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,819.27 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 65c | 40,003$26,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,001 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 20,349$13,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,813.78 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 66c | 14,000$9,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,830 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 66c | 7,470$4,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,531.12 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 65c | 6,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 32c | 2,694$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.18 | 155 | 16.1%25 W · 130 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 66c | 2,034$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.21 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d46…8029backed Yes | 33c | 1,537$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…828cbacked No | 70c | 1,537$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 18c | 1,181$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.81 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 68c | 1,100$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.98 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed Yes | 32c | 999.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1067…9bd3backed No | 69c | 900$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce2…1150backed Yes | 31c | 899.84$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 67c | 861.54$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.31 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 31c | 740.49$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.62 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 30c | 700$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 68c | 640$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.6 | 169 | 62.1%105 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Yes | 32c | 522$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 65c | 474.29$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.86 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ad…80f6backed No | 70c | 431.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.23 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 67c | 352.82$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.43 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed No | 69c | 304.52$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.62 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 18c | 275.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 66c | 211.06$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 70c | 180.95$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed No | 68c | 169.12$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…f395backed No | 67c | 157$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.81 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 62cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b8…d54cbacked Yes | 20c | 124.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…deffbacked Yes | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 67c | 106.06$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 68c | 105.88$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…a857backed Yes | 31c | 103.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 66c | 87.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 68c | 72.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c32…f103backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be3…bb12backed Yes | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed No | 69c | 34.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81cd…446fbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…2037backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 67c | 30.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a0…978fbacked No | 68c | 29.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 65c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 68c | 20.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-10-17?this page
- Will Espanyol win on 2025-10-17?Yes won
- Will Real Oviedo vs. Espanyol end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.